PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: The Striker previews BRIGHTON v ARSENAL and NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER UNITED with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BRIGHTON V ARSENAL
7.30pm The midweek Premier League games continue on Betdaq Betting Exchange, and we have a cracking Wednesday night! We have five games, and while there are multiple interesting fixtures – Brighton hosting Arsenal looks the most interesting from the 7-30pm games. Another massive fixture though is Chelsea hosting Aston Villa – that’s a huge game after they both lost at the weekend. Obviously you also have Manchester City playing too; but all eyes are on how Arsenal keep handling the title race pressure as they head to Brighton. The Gunners kept their nerve in the title race with a superb win over Chelsea on Sunday – that result will have done wonders for confidence, but there is no time to breathe with this fixture list. They come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.68 with Brighton 5.6 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. I do feel Arsenal will get the job done here; the best way to describe Brighton this season is lacklustre. Their average xG created of 1.50 is the eighth best attacking figure in the Premier League; but they’ve struggled to convert those chances and they’ve been sitting in the bottom half. They’ve been a mid-table team this season after competing for European spots. It feels like they’ve gone backwards.
Their average xG conceded of 1.40 is solid enough, though it won’t exactly be causing Arteta any sleepless nights, and again it’s mid-table standard. Arsenal have average xG created of 1.72 which is the third best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of just 0.90 is comfortably the best defensive figure in the Premier League – and indeed the best in Europe, which is exceptionally impressive obviously. The only thing to note about Arsenal recently is that they have been leaking more goals, but they are relentless with corners at the other end of the pitch! Brighton like to play an open game, and they will give Arsenal chances. I feel Brighton are there for the taking looking at them this season, and while Arsenal are clearly under pressure in the title race – they did have the answers against Spurs and Chelsea. I can’t see Brighton putting them under as much pressure as Chelsea did late on either. The 1.68 is ten ticks too big on Arsenal in my opinion, and I’m happy to start the evening with a Five Star NAP!
The Striker Says:
Five points win Arsenal to beat Brighton at 1.68 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLBhAr
NEWCASTLE V MANCHESTER UNITED
8.15pm We finish Wednesday night with another cracker as Newcastle host Manchester United! St James’ Park will be rocking, as it always is when they host United. Michael Carrick has been one of the great feel good stories of the second half of the campaign at Old Trafford, and they came through another drama filled win at the weekend over Crystal Palace – going behind early before coming back in the second half. Their average xG created of 1.78 is the best attacking figure in the entire Premier League – ahead of Liverpool, Arsenal, City, everyone. How long has it been since we could say that about a Manchester United side? That did start under Ruben Amorim; but obviously Carrick is getting the benefit now. The sloppy individual errors have not fully disappeared, but you can see he has clearly given this squad plenty of confidence. Newcastle away from home are no easy task for anyone, though. We have an exceptionally open betting heat – there’s actually only two ticks between the sides. Newcastle are the marginal favourites at 2.66 with Manchester United 2.68 and the draw is 3.85 at the time of writing. It will be very interesting to see can United get the job done here.
Newcastle have been playing some great football this season, but they haven’t been getting the results. Their average xG created of 1.59 is the fifth best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.35 is also reasonably impressive (top six). However, Newcastle have been in mid-table for most of the season. Another loss at the weekend meant they were sitting in 13th – even though Newcastle are clearly playing well, it’s hard to have any confidence in them given their results. Compare that to United – better under-lining numbers and they actually are getting the job done. I do feel it’s hard to have a very confident bet on the match odds market here – I’m happy to stay out of that and focus on the goals market because this game screams goals in my opinion. Both sides have leaked goals at times this season, and United under Carrick have been very entertaining too. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.59 and that looks a nice position. This has the feel of a game where you wouldn’t be surprised to see it finish 4-4 given the season these two have had!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.59 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLNeMu
