MORE TREASURE FOR DAQMAN: Daqman edged in front for the second day running (+4.20 yesterday) when he landed his nap at Catterick.
WON 8-11 TREASURE ISLANDS (nap)
THE DRAW HIGHS AND LOWS
THE draw, which played such a huge role in Royal Ascot, should be checked closely when stalls positions are made for two ‘Derbys’ at the weekend.
Pitman’s Derby (Saturday) Winners of the Northumberland Plate by stall at Newcastle in the last 10 seasons – 3, 13, 11, 18, 17, 17, 10, 14, 12, 9 – give you a strong indicator for Saturday’s race. Eight out of 10 in double figures.
Irish Derby (Sunday) Winners of the Curragh Classic by stall in the decade: 2, 1, 8, 2, 11, 3, 5, 1, 3, 5. Eight out of 10 in the low five draw.
BIG BOOST FOR SAMI FORM
⭕ 7.00 Newbury CD-winner Documenting was once a player in class 2 off 101 but he’s 13 now, three times the age of those usually successful in a Newbury race like this.
In fact, aren’t we getting to the time of year when three-year-olds can emerge in a race like this. You have a choice between those already shown enough to get a big weight and those lightly raced that sneak in down the handicap.
Creative Queen, who has earned 9st 7lb from two good runs at Yarmouth, scored in first-time blinkers a couple of days after her €800,000 dollar breeze-up price.
I prefer Starlight Sami, whose Salisbury success cost her only a 3lb rise, though the runner-up has since then readily beaten a 14-strong field, when landing a gamble at Bath, 15-8 favourite.
BACK TO DRAW PREFERENCE
⭕ 7.35 Newbury A high draw (stalls 6, 7, 8, 9 and 11 three times) has won this seven years out of eight, just one of them favourite but none bigger than 9-1.
Five out of eight were aged three or four, all bar two weighing out off 9st 6lb or more.
Escape Plan, Exhibitioning, Forever My Prince, Laughterintherain and Massimo Blue make up my short-list, with the pace player Laughterintherain interesting dropped back from a mile-plus.
⭕ 8.05 Newbury Baileys Kelstar has won an Ascot class-4 at this level, at this trip; 11 times placed in 14 starts over the last three years, but first time ridden today by Oisin Murphy.
None of the big stables oppose this natural front-runner, like so many of Charlie Johnston’s.
DAQMAN’S BETS
on Betdaq Betting Exchange
★ 7.00 Newbury (win 20)
BET 4pts win STARLIGHT SAMI
7.35 Newbury (win 20)
BET 1.2pts win LAUGHTERINTHERAIN
8.05 Newbury (15 nap)
BET 9.4pts win BAILEY’S KHELSTAR
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
