Buffalo Bills (0-0, 0-0 ATS) @ Chicago Bears (0-0, 0-0 ATS)

*ATS= against the spread

BETDAQ Line: Chicago -7 (47.5)

Significant Injuries

Buffalo: CB Stephon Gilmore (questionable– groin), S Jonathan Meeks (doubtful– neck), RB Anthony Dixon (out– hamstring)

Chicago: FB Tony Fiammetta (questionable– hamstring)

Recent Trends

Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Week 1 games

Buffalo is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games

Chicago is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games

The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams

The OVER is 6-2 in Buffalo’s last 8 road games

The OVER is 4-1 in Chicago’s last 5 home games

Three reasons to back Buffalo

1. The Bills finished 2nd in the league in rushing last season behind the ‘thunder and lighting’ tandem of Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller, while the Bears finished dead last in run defense, surrendering a staggering 161.4 rushing yards per game. In other words, this is a dream matchup for the Buffalo offense.

2. The Bears have been the worst home team in the NFL over the last year and a half, covering just once in their last 10 home games. Keep in mind also that Chicago was the league’s most overvalued team in 2013, covering just four times all season despite winning 8 games.

3. Buffalo has an underrated defense that ranked 10th overall and 4th against the pass last season, and Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler has a history of underperforming against good secondaries. Cutler’s teams have finished with a winning ‘ATS’ record just once in his 8-year career.

Three reasons to back Chicago

1. The Bears are a legitimate playoff contender thanks to their explosive offense, a unit that finished 2nd in the NFL in points scored last season. Buffalo, meanwhile, is projected to finish last in the AFC East once again. This is a clear mismatch.

2. The Bills are one of the league’s worst road teams, covering just twice in their last 10 games away from home.

3. Buffalo quarterback E.J. Manuel is a liability who seemed to regress last season, and if the 2014 preseason is any indication it looks like Manuel still hasn’t found his footing. The Manuel-led Bills offense has little chance of keeping up with the high-flying Bears.


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