Carolina Panthers (3-2-1, 4-2 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (4-2, 3-2-1 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Green Bay -7 (49)
Significant Injuries
Carolina: WR Kelvin Benjamin (questionable– concussion), CB Josh Norman (questionable– shoulder), RB DeAngelo Williams (out– ankle), DE Frank Alexander (out– suspension), DE Greg Hardy (out– suspension)
Green Bay: CB Demetri Goodson (questionable– concussion), WR Jarrett Boykin (questionable– knee), DE Datone Jones (questionable– ankle), LB Sam Barrington (questionable– hamstring), CB Sam Shields (questionable– knee), CB Tramon Williams (questionable– ankle)
Recent Trends
Carolina is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. NFC opponents
Carolina is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game
Green Bay is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 October games
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. NFC opponents
Green Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games
The UNDER is 9-1 in Carolina’s last 10 games vs. NFC opponents
The OVER is 4-0 in Carolina’s last 4 games overall
The OVER is 5-1 in Green Bay’s last 6 games overall
The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Carolina
1. The Panthers are a division-leading team that has played well in their past two games, beating Chicago in Week 5 and playing the Bengals to a tie in Cincinnati last week. They’re simply too good to be getting 7 points against a Green Bay team that nearly lost to Miami last week. The public’s love of Aaron Rodgers and the Packers has inflated this line.
2. The Carolina offense is playing at an elite level, scoring 68 combined points in their past two games. On Sunday they’ll face a Green Bay defense that has already surrendered 24 points or more three times and has allowed more rushing yards than any team in the league, so another big day from Cam Newton and Co. is expected.
3. The Packers are simply overvalued; they’re just not as good as everyone seems to think they are. They rank 27th in total offense despite their reputation as a high-scoring team and their defense can’t stop the run. They nearly lost to lowly Miami last week, and they’ve only beaten one team with a winning record this season. Plus, they’ve covered just twice in their last 8 home games. They have no business being 7-point favorites over a team like Carolina.
Three reasons to back Green Bay
1. The Packers are rolling now, having won their last three games by 56 combined points. Carolina, meanwhile, has won just once in their last 4 games and has notched just one victory on the road this season– a Week 1 win over a terrible Tampa Bay team. The Panthers are simply outclassed in this matchup.
2. The Carolina defense, which was so fearsome a year ago, has taken a major step back this season and now ranks 26th in yards allowed and 24th in points allowed (26.2 ppg). They have little chance of slowing down a Green Bay offense that has produced 107 points over the past three weeks.
3. Green Bay’s primary weakness this season has been run defense, but this week they’ll face a team that isn’t well-equipped to exploit that weakness, as Carolina averages just 86.8 rushing yards per game. The Packers are excellent in the secondary though, so if Cam Newton is forced into a shootout-type situation against Aaron Rodgers it probably won’t end well for the Panthers.
Prediction
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
