ANOTHER WINNING DAQMAN BANKER QUICKENS THE PULSE: Daqman, your free tipping service on BETDAQ, has his finger on the racing pulse. Yesterday he had super confidence in Racing Pulse (WON 8-11), a maximum-stakes banker nap at Newcastle, scoring by 17 lengths and 10 lengths.
NOW HE’S 9-1 UP ON PRICEWISE IN THE SEARCH FOR VALUE: His analysis of the big race of the day, the Peterborough Chase at Huntingdon, was also spot on. He named Riverside Theatre (WON 9-4) in his challenge to Pricewise, and now leads the trade-paper value tipster 9-1 in the last three weeks.
A ‘WONDERFUL’ DOUBLE WHAMMY? Always one to play up his winnings. Always one to attack the obvious, particularly odds-on favourites. That’s our Daqman, and he’s spending the winnings in daring fashion again today in the Cheltenham opener with a double whammy, lay and nap.
12.30 Cheltenham It’s the old firm straight into battle for this novices’ chase, with vanquished champion trainer, Paul Nicholls, fielding the progressive Wonderful Charm, against current champion, Nicky Henderson, who saddles latecomer to chasing, Oscar Whisky.
In fact, the pair have met before, when Oscar Whisky fluffed his lines in the World Hurdle (3m), presumably failing to stay, and he dropped back to today’s kind of trip for his novice-chase debut at Cheltenham last month, when he ran down his fences and was beaten in a small field.
A breathing problem showed up when Wonderful Charm was eighth in that World Hurdle but, since an op, he’s been progressive in his novice-chases but has to concede 8lb to a horse a stone better than he was over hurdles.
On the other hand, Wonderful Charm has three years on him, and Oscar Whisky faces another tactical race, with no obvious front-runner. If he’s forced to lead, Wonderful Charm can wait on him and he is known to quicken well on the ground.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Oscar Whiskey’s 14-1 with some bookmakers looks optimistic for the Arkle in March. If you must back him, the 24.0 on BETDAQ this morning is much more realistic.
For me, he’s an in-between horse, too old and to slow now for the big hurdles contests so trying to hack it at chasing at a late stage in his career.
But the current 12-1 RSA hope, Wonderful Charm, will be hot stuff for March if he can win today, despite his weight concession. I’ll play up my winnings and say he can.
1.40 Cheltenham It’s getting on for four years since Dan Breen won a hurdles race; Maxi Chop hasn’t won one at all, and Uhlan Bute only his maiden. In fact, it looks a turkey of a class 3, with not much stuffing.
Nicky Henderson has withdrawn Fourth Estate, leaving only Lyvius, who is back from a poor attempt at chasing, and Zafranagar is a once-a-year winner (he had this year’s a month ago), who only just beat Canadian Diamond at Leicester.
So I’m going with the in-form Philip Hobbs and his in-form youngster, The Skyfarmer, who has progressed so well that I think he can step up here and give the weight to the eight-year-old Zafranagar.
Uhlan Bute is one of those running quickly to try to beat a handicapping reassessment – he’s officially 9lb well in here – but they haven’t done too well lately.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: The Skyfarmer is a tasty 5.7 on BETDAQ this morning and I fancy him to beat Uhlan Bute, who could fulfil that old racing system ‘placed within seven days’ but at a shorter, not –much-value price.
2.10 Cheltenham An open race gets what it deserves when you back on BETDAQ: the punter-friendly welcome of a list of offers in the orange which add up to well below the likely SP Total of 112%, in this case 103 as I write.
There hasn’t been a winner in the decade above 11st 9lb nor of a double-figure age so, if the stats are right, we can work to 80% on the rest of the field.
It’s never quite that easy but there’s another equalizer today, the firmish ground, which won’t help the soft-surface stayers, Monbeg Dude and Emperor’s Choice.
Knockara Beau had Monbeg Dude, Burton port and Quentin Collonges in rear when the ‘moral’ over two furlongs further on the Old Course a month or so back, beaten two lengths but giving nearly a stone to the winner.
But that’s put his mark up again and he’s now 9lb higher than for his Kelso chase success in October, though spot on his last winning hurdles rating.
Duke Of Lucca was even more of a ‘moral’ when second at Ascot, giving the proverbial ‘lumps of weight’ to the winner but beware that he was blinkered first time that day and not certain to reproduce that form second time in the aids.
Theatre Guide, third in the Hennessy a couple of weeks back, looks ready made for this, if the race didn’t take too much out of him.
Tony McCoy worked the oracle on Prince Of Pirates at Kempton in February and the Henderson hope’s form after a break is 1131.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: With the low percentage total in the BETDAQ orange, I could afford a couple of cracks at this: I took 4.7 Theatre Guide and 7.0 Prince Of Pirates.
2.40 Cheltenham If you are a serious punter, you should know, and avoid, your worst tracks – mine are Brighton and Yarmouth – and your worst races. Mine include cross-countrys.
Why? Well I always swerve the sequence horses (like Garde Champetre) as too short – nothing’s too short if it keeps winning! – and fail to catch them on the up, at a young age.
So it is that three horses have won this off 10st and four off 11st 12lb since 2004, representing the unknowns and the sequnce horses. Tricky one.
The young acquisitions to the game, Sire Collonges (hit rail behind Any Currency and Chicago Grey over CD a month back) and Keep On Track (slipped up going well in Punchestown banks race), were both looked unlucky last month.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: If Enda Bolger, of Garde Champetre and Spot Thedifference fame (they won this race a total of five times) is to have another cross-country star this season, Keep On Track is one for the short list.
But he has to go top of the list in this, getting 25lb and 23lb from Chicago Grey and Sire Collonges and his main rival today at the weights must be Any Currency who likes today’s ground but had had a run and was in cheekpieces first time when third over CD a month ago.
3.15 Cheltenham Southfield Theatre is weighted to turn around the form with Return Spring here last month on the Old Course but Return Spring was staying on the stronger, Southfield Theatre giving way on the run-in.
Similarly, Thomas Crapper and Angles Hill have been brought together by the handicapper for their one-two over shorter at the same meeting but, though that was in lower grade, Thomas Crapper has to give 4lb to Return Spring today.
Destroyer Deployed, second in the Champion Bumper, runner-up in a class-2 over CD, and third in this race last year, clearly saves his best form for Cheltenham, though never quite good enough and he’s seven now. Place prospects at 15.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Return Spring (6.8 this morning) looks progressive, with the stable in great heart. Destroyer Deployed is the outsider of the day among the bottomweights here.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 20 points, except the Double Whammy)
DOUBLE WHAMMY: LAY 10pts OSCAR WHISKY and BET 10pts win (nap) WONDERFUL CHARM (12.30 Cheltenham)
BET 4pts win THE SKYFARMER and 1.2pts win (stakes saver) UHLAN BUTE (1.40 Cheltenham)
BET 5.4pts win THEATRE GUIDE and 3.3pts win PRINCE OF PIRATES (2.10 Cheltenham)
BET 6.6pts win KEEP ON TRACK (2.40 Cheltenham)
BET 3.4pts win RETURN SPRING, and 1.3pts win and 2.6pts place (Outsider of the Day) DESTROYER DEPLOYED (3.15 Cheltenham)
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