WIN-20 STRIKE BY DAQMAN: In a stunning make-all, William Buick held on a head and a head to land Daqman’s pick at Newbury yesterday for a win-20 bet and a profit on the day.
WON 18-5 TWISTING PHYSICS (Thursday)
WHEN TO SMASH THE FAVOURITES: Daqman finds that Gold Cup Thursday is a day for favourites next week, winners and losers: in one, there’s a 68% winning chance; in two other races, it hasn’t scored once in at least 15 years! KEY STATS below.
GOLD CUP DAY: KEY STATS
THURSDAY: TRAINERS
3.40 (Ribblesdale Stakes) Aidan O’Brien 5, Team Gosden 5, Saeed Bin Suroor 5
4.20 (Gold Cup) Aidan O’Brien 9, Saeed Bin Suroor 5
AGE
4.20 (Gold Cup) Only two winners aged seven and over (in 1929 and Yeats 2008-9)
FAVOURITES
4.20 (Gold Cup): 7 out of 11 (including one joint)
STALLS
3.05 (King George V Handicap) 13 out of 15 winners had a double-figure draw
5.00 (Britannia Stakes) 13 winners out of 15 from double-figure stalls
LAYS
2.30 (Norfolk Stakes) Not one winning favourite, going back 16 years. Not a one!
3.05 (King George V Handicap) No outright favourite has won in 15 years (two joint)
5.00 (Britannia Stakes) Just one winning favourite in the decade.
IT’S HENRY! DUE TO MURPHY
⭕ 2.40 Sandown The ease in the ground suits Due To Henry, who always gets a good jockey when he’s ‘busy’: Tom Marquand and William Buick both 1-2 on him.
Now here’s Oisin Murphy, checking the tack and planning how to cope with the one stall. BETDAQ 6.1 taken.
After a lowly 1-12 record, Son needs some spurs! Mustazeed and Sierra Blanca need it to rain and rain, while – at age nine – Andaleep must shed a few more pounds.
Sierra Blanca is an Aidan O Brien cast-off; Silent Age was with Charlie Appleby until January. David Menuisier (Promethean) is still struggling for form.
Blinkers could help Chaturanga and Charming Whisper, who put two wins back to back last summer, returned to form the last day at Yarmouth.
CHEEKY CHANCE FOR BRIONI
⭕ 3.15 Sandown Tom Marquand and Rossa Ryan have both won this from the one stall in the last three years but are in 5 (Approval) and 9 (Brioni) today.
Those two met on firm ground at Goodwood last summer: Approval, the winner by a neck, is 5lb better off today but Brioni won his next race on soft.
On the only other occasion when the money was down for Brioni, he ran second on good to soft here at Sandown.
He hit the front too soon and was run out of it by a 12f horse’s stamina. First-time cheekpieces should help settle him and enable late delivery today: Betdaq Betting Exchange 7.9.
WARNING FROM DERBY FORM
⭕ 3.25 Chester Billy Loughnane gets no help from stall 7 to get Marhaba Ghaiyyath out early.
Billy did the trick at Wolverhampton in March and made virtually all but, with the colt favourite for the third consecutive time in a race, Joe Fanning was slowly away, raised to class 3 at Musselburgh in April.
Topteam defied a double-figure draw to score over CD just 13 days back, with Magellan Cloud (likes cut in the ground) second from gate 8 in a slower division of the same race, forced to wait for room.
Stark Warning, who has won on soft, was third when trying to make all at Salisbury behind stablemate Stanhope Gardens, who was subsequently fifth in the Derby. BETDAQ 5.2 taken.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
2.40 Sandown (win 20)
BET 4pts win DUE TO HENRY
3.15 Sandown (win-50 bull’s-eye bet )
BET 7pts win BRIONI
★ 3.25 Chester (win 21 nap)
BET 5pts win STARK WARNING
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