DAQMAN RISES TO THE CHALLENGE AT 9-1: Big-race ace Daqman, beaten a neck at 11-2 in the opening Brighton feature, the Mile on Wednesday, went one better yesterday when he landed the Challenge Cup with Beacon Lady (WON 9-1), and fires off an 8.0 BETDAQ bet in the Bullet this afternoon.
2.30 Musselburgh Mick’s Yer Man had four winners behind him when he won on today’s course in March, after running away with the Brocklesby from a subsequent Newmarket class-3 scorer.
He’s had a long rest and recently has been waiting for the firm ground to ease a bit, which it has at Musselburgh. Ryan While takes off a valuable 7lb in the battle with Viva Verglas.
Viva’s stable is on a roll – form figures in August 1021012122210 – and we can expect a humdinger of a race. But the Turner yard is 100% in non-handicaps on this course, so I shall side with Mick, with his offers double the true odds assuming, as I do, that this is a two-horse race.
3.00 Musselburgh (Archerfield Cup) An eight-runner race has a win-and-place taste, if you can find a plum that should reach the frame at a decent price that covers the chance of a bonus win. Maybe I have found one, just Between Us!
Between Us, sent North on a solo journey by Sir Mark Prescott, drops back from the pattern (in the frame in two Listed races) and is stepped up in trip for the first time.
Hat-trick seekers O Ma Lad and Hawdyerwheesht are up in the weights and are not fancied in the BETDAQ market this morning (8.0 and 9.0) to extend their sequences. Tropical Beat may need the run after almost a year off; he’s always needed one before.
3.30 Musselburgh A similar size of race. Same idea. Looking for a win-and-place ace to foil the favourite, Frog Hollow, who is drawn widest of all in this right-hand-hairpin spin.
Last time the grey Silver Rime was here, he made the one draw work for him and he’s in the same stall today, though this is two grades higher and he’s up 10lb on that form.
Ex-sprinter Rasaman seems to want further these days but has never been placed right-handed, which is a negative when you consider he has 83 races (yes, 83) on his CV.
Of the two recent scorers, King Torus is only claimer level and Wannabe King is unlikely to put back-to-back wins together; he’s not had that much head of steam since 2009.
Kung Hei Fat Choy has scored only on a man-made surface. Powerful Presence has never won off his current mark. Alejandro is a leader, who might have to be used up, stymied in stall 6.
So it is that I see Laffan (a huge 9.8 on BETDAQ this morning) as each-way value. Seemed to be coming back to form last time and will appreciate the better ground.
Hasn’t won as high as 86, but has done so only a pound below that, is just four years old and is a winner a class higher than this.
4.10 Brighton Bullet Young horses have swept the board in in the Bullet, with none over the age of four able to score in its five-year history. Not a one!
Even though they had only four of the 14 runners last year, a four-year-old won it. Today the youngsters have four chances in 11.
Since stalls 1 (twice) and 3 have won three out of four when there have been double-figure fields, prime suspects this afternoon must be Langley Vale (from 2) and Lionheart (4).
Kirsty Milczarek keeps the ride on Lionheart – Fallon goes to Lingfield for one ride for Gay Kelleway (!) – penalized for beating Commanche at Yarmouth 10 days ago.
Commanche is now 7lb better off but I’d still want Lionheart, so easily did he win that day. No wonder he was clear favourite this morning on BETDAQ (7.0 bar one).
Langley Vale does not look as progressive but has two things in his favour: two successes over today’s course and distance. However, a rise in grade, and in weight, has appeared too much for him the last twice.
That leaves Desert Command. There were a lot of excuses for him – lost a shoe, free to post, pulled hard – before he finally got off the mark, dropped back to today’s trip, at Lingfield on his latest start.
That was in class 5 but he showed a lot of tactical speed that day and both second and third had won their previous starts. Looks like he’s improving, and his stable had a treble across the cards at Brighton, Haydock and Sandown yesterday.
If we stand by our belief that only four horses can win this, and we are now down to two, then 8.0 Desert Command is an offer we can’t refuse.
Of the older horses, Piazza San Pietro has scored twice at Brighton but is on a long losing run, and Cruise Tothelimit has been more at home over 5f, Corporal Maddox over 7f.
7.50 Newmarket Magic Of Reality is a long way adrift of Forgive on lines through Saucy Minx and Ribbons, though likely to improve after only five runs and in good hands. Ran up to the Oaks winner in a Listed, though that Oaks has proved to be little better than a Listed!
Forgive has an 8lb turnaround in the weights for threeparts of a length with her CD conqueror, Great Timing. And she goes up 2lb from tomorrow.
Yet she is 6.6 as I write and, in a 105% list of offers, despite only five remaining, I can back Forgive and stakes save on the favourite.
Selections each to win 20 points.
BET 10pts win (nap) MICK’S YER MAN (2.30 Musselburgh)
BET 4pts win and place BETWEEN US (3.00 Musselburgh)
BET 2.5pts win and place LAFFAN (3.30 Musselburgh)
BET 9.5pts win LIONHEART and 2.8pts win DESERT COMMAND (4.10 Brighton)
BET 3.5pts win FORGIVE and 2.2pts win (stakes saver) MAGIC OF REALITY (7.50 Newmarket)
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