GOOD CALL: SO SIX OUT OF SEVEN: Daqman skinned the layers again yesterday, with winning nap number six out of seven. The only loser jumped the last in front on Wednesday but unseated rider. A Good Skin (WON 13-8, nap) and Princess Ombu (WON dd 5-1) gave him a Thursday profit of 19 points.
4-0 UP ON PRICEWISE ALREADY: Daqman is back to big-time racing today after making 154 points profit on the first weekend of the Flat, slamming Pricewise 4-0, with Chatez (WON Spring Mile 14-1) and Onenightidreamed (WON 8-1 Irish Lincoln) a big handicap double in England and Ireland
18.0 & 16.0 TIPS FOR BIG RACES: It’s Daqman v Pricewise in the 1.40, 2.10, 3.15 and 3.45 of the AW Championships. There are seven Lingfield races altogether, in which Daqman took offers on BETDAQ at 18.0 and 16.0, plus tips for feature events at Musselburgh, giving him a strong trio for his Daq Multiples.
INTRANSIGENT MASSIVE AT 16.0 ON BETDAQ
1.40 Lingfield (AW Fillies’ And Mares’ Championship) A big step up in quality on last year when the winner was a 78 and only four topped the 80 mark.
Today, eight runners are officially rated between 84 and 100, three of them 96-plus, led by James Tate’s Lamar, just nutted by the experienced AW entire Grendisar in the Winter Derby Trial.
Last year Lamar twice finished behind a filly called Majeyda: when fourth in the Nell Gwyn Stakes, and then when well down the field in the 1,000 Guineas.
And, though Lamar turned the tables on Majeyda at Chelmsford in January, that one has twice been left for dead by Khatiba , whose trainer, Roger Varian, has a 57% strike-rate this year with his older horses.
Khatiba is improving rapidly – officially 15lb late on last year – out of handicap company. So, too, Don’t Be, who missed the Lincoln Handicap for this, another on the upgrade.
The Mark Prescott sequence horse, who has shot up the ranks 21lb with five in a row over the winter, was beaten by the colts on the last day.
Fresles travels over from France after prepping on the Chantilly Polytrack, We can assume that’s put her right, though her stable is currently out of form.
The evidence of a race at Deauville in December suggests there’s not much between the winner, Fresles, and Lamar who, hampered and short of room, kept on well to be fourth.
As a front-runner, Fresles is vulnerable under a jockey who doesn’t know the track and Lamar now has Ryan Moore to do the steering.
But collateral form with Maggie Pink, who was third in the race last year, seems to give Khatiba the edge.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: We must go with the potential improvement of the four-year-olds and just 1.1 points separate Fresles, Khatiba and Lamar at the front of the BETDAQ market. Both on form, and as the one most likely to leap forward after a break, I went for Khatiba at 4.7.
2.10 Lingfield (AW Sprint Championship) There’s a fascinating follow on to the first race in that Intransigent gave 7lb and a beating to Fresles in the Golden Rose (Listed) over CD at Lingfield in November.
When Intransigent returned after a break – only sixth to Rivellino in another Listed in February – trainer Andrew Balding warned that today was the target.
Richard Fahey cleaned up at the Lincoln meeting but last year’s winner of this, Alben Star, has the trappy one draw to deal with and was just behind Intransigent in that Rivellino race over CD.
A strong pace would be in Alben Star’s favour but can anything foil the Balding plot? Chookie Royale is more at home over 7f, though managed a win over 6f in the deeper ground at Chelmsford.
Pretend beat Alben Star three weeks back but will need to improve on that and on his defeat of Boom And Groom at Wolver. He may well do so.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: As ever BETDAQ layers seem blinded by recent winning form, offering a massive 16.0 Intransigent, in a race where everything is easy to back (6.0 bar one) apart from the favourite, Pretend, who is therefore our stakes saver.
2.40 Lingfield (AW 3-Y-O Mile Championship) Again a better race than last year, when one horse was rated 100 or more – and won – against three this time around.
Five of these have won at least two of their last four races, and the quality is the highest of the day, when you consider they are only three years old.
But we could have done with a better turn-out for this level of prizemoney (why not an early closing and reopening of the race). The powers-that-be will seldom consider the punter but only seven runners in a three-year-old contest is no help to breeders either.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Lexington Times owes me nothing. He won the Lingfield Spring Cup for me at 10-1 and his late surge suggests the extra furlong will be no problem.
He swept past Angelic Lord, who represented Coventry Stakes and July Stakes form which leaves class-2 winner, Tempus Temporis, and French Provinces scorer Growing Glory needing to find.
3.15 Lingfield (Ladbrokes AW Mile Championship) Third and fourth last season, Alfred Hutchinson and Grey Mirage, are back and a slight dip in the general ratings standard this year gives them a chance.
I’ve been through the melee of exposed form, which collaterally covers a dozen races, and I find it hard to split Sovereign Debt and the Irish raider Captain Joy, with Mindurownbusiness hard on their heels.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Surprising to see just one four-year-old taking on the older horses and, again, it’s Roger Varian and Graham Lee with Mindurownbusiness. Captain Joy’s coffin-box stall worries me. Best outsider may be Tenor, fifth in the Cambridgeshire off 110 after starting last year a 71-rated winner over today’s CD, and back to that trip today: 18.0 on BETDAQ, as I write.
3.45 Lingfield (AW Easter Classic Middle-Distance Championship) Grendisar beat last year’s winner of this, Grandeur, in the Winter Derby Trial in February. Earlier success today for Lamar (1.40) – second that day – would boost Grendisar, but he was mugged by Tryster at the finish of the Winter Derby itself.
Tryster found an extra gear that day and is on an unstoppable ratings trajectory: only an 87 in January, he was 93 in February, rose to 100 and 108 as he completed a four-timer in March, and now races off 112, officially a 3lb better animal than anything else in this field.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Tryster’s strong run should continue. Hub of your Daq Multiples.
4.15 Lingfield (AW 3-Y-O Sprint Championship) How times have changed. It would have been unheard of not so long ago for six horses to have 12 wins in the bag already at this time of year.
They make a very decent field but only Portamento is officially rated more than 100, some 6lb in front of the sequence horse, Primrose Valley (racing off 98, which is 20lb higher than in August).
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Bags of collateral form again. I could fill the column with it. Suffice it to say that it all points to Portamento, if he can do at Lingfield what he did at Wolver.
4.45 Lingfield (AW Marathon Championship) Hidden Gold is the third horse today seeking a five-timer (after Tryster and Primrose Valley) yet, because of the conditions of the race, she has between 5lb and 9lb on the field.
Godolphin, her owners, also have Yorkshire Cup hope Anglophile in the field, narrowly the top-rating over John Reel, but with nothing to spare over Mymaterchris with both held by Hurricane Higgins on a line through Uramazin.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: The snag with Hurricane Higgins is whether he can repeat that romp, his first run since 2012, and surely Godolphin are not going to have two four-year-old marathon hopes lose the one race!
YOU MUST HAVE A TAD ON HAGGAS RAIDER
1.55 Musselburgh (Scottish Brocklesby) Sounds like a vegetable soup, and First Bombardment should serve it up to them, after his narrow defeat in the Doncaster Brocklesby.
2.25 Musselburgh (Balmoral Cup) The Ladbroke hurdle winner Bayan won on the soft over this trip on the Flat in the summer at Leopardstown, where he had earlier finished third in the November Handicap.
2.55 Musselburgh (Royal Mile) William Haggas and Michael Bell, first and third with lightweights last year, try to pull off the same trick with the bottom pair, Tadqeeq and Berland. Tadqeeq, gelded over the winter, should have the balls for this.
3.30 Musselburgh (Borderlescott Sprint) At the age of 13 Borderlescott, beaten a nose last year, tries to repeat his 2008 win in his own race.
Tangerine Trees, at 10, bids to add to his 2013 success. I can’t bet in a sprint with two short-priced favourites in a small-field tactical race. So I hope one of the old boys wins.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points unless otherwise stated)
BET 5.4pts win KHATIBA (1.40 Lingfield)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 3.3pts win and place INTRANSIGENT, and 4.5pts win (stakes saver) PRETEND (2.10 Lingfield)
BET 6pts win BAYAN (2.25 Musselburgh)
BET 8.8pts win (nap) LEXINGTON TIMES (2.40 Lingfield)
BET 5.4pts win TADQEEQ (2.55 Musselburgh)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 10pts win MINDROWNBUSINESS and 2.9pts win and place TENOR (3.15 Lingfield)
BET 7.8pts win PORTAMENTO (4.15 Lingfield)
BET 7.2pts win HIDDEN GOLD and 2.5pts win (stakes saver) ANGLOPHILE (4.45 Lingfield)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 3pts win doubles and 1pt win treble First Bombardment (1.55 Musselburgh), Lexington Times (2.40 Lingfield) and Tryster (3.45 Lingfield).
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