THIS WEEK: THE PROFITS SERVICE: Another day; another week. But don’t let the Daqman winners get away from you. And follow his lesson in chasing the daily value on Betdaq. His current standings are:
Bankers: 11111113212
(profit 48.70 to 20pts)
Naps: 14121413012
(profit: 120.13 to 20pts)
Lays: 11111111111
(profit 220 to 20pts)
Bull’s-Eye Bets profit 41.10
(to recommended stakes)
Value: Daqman 20, Pricewise 11
(overall 128 – 69)
NEXT WEEK: FESTIVAL REHEARSAL: Daqman takes you day by day through Cheltenham a week in advance, giving you stats and facts to look for and completing his ante-post wallet as he goes along.
CHELTENHAM WEEK WINNERS: In the week itself, race-by-race analysis from Daqman, who has a sensational record over the years:
* 22 Cheltenham winning bets in 2009
* 16 consecutive winning lays up to 2010
* 8-1 Gold Cup and 11-1 Champion Hurdle 2012
* 25-1 and 10-1 winners in 2013
* 12-1 and 17-2 hits at Cheltenham 2014
THURSDAY IS NIGHT’S GOLD CUP DAY
What a good bet! The Skelton helter-skelter of trainer Dan and jockey Harry has slowed in the last week after a treble which culminated in success at Ludlow (11100034).
But, back to Ludlow on Thursday, What A Good Night is expected to make it three wins out of his four starts, since Skelton took him over from the Twiston-Davies team.
What A Good Night ‘is progressive’ (quote unquote D Skelton) and goes extremely well fresh so, after a break since November, resumes a total of 33lb higher for the two wins so far.
But, though he’s already won at class-3 level, he sneaks into the Forbra Gold Cup off bottomweight of the 16 entries, getting up to 23lb from the rest of the field.
The son of Westerner – yes, Westerner again – is related to a Hennessy winner and, at age seven, is expected to go on to better things.
GARDNER CAN ATONE FOR SUNDAY ERROR
Ayr and Plumtpon are set to race but in very soft ground. It is going to be tough to get home at both tracks so the best advice is to go for horses that stay well.
Lucy Gardner hit the headlines yesterday for all the wrong reasons when getting a hefty ban for failing to ride the finish at Fontwell. That error occurred on Sirop De Monthe and that same horse lines out again this afternoon in a similar contest at 3.10.
Garnder should be able to atone for the mistake today. The pair step up in trip slightly and running on similar ground, there should be very little reason for the gelding to be able to follow up on his win a month ago at the same track.
Later on in Plumpton (4.10), Ballyegan will attempt to go one better following three successive second place finishes since coming back over hurdles. A dual Chase winner this season, the Bob Buckler trained gelding is a very reliable sort. He goes well on the ground, stays well and should be able to finally get that elusive first Hurdles win.
Up north at Ayr, Whats Up Woody is another perennial placed runner and he goes again at 3.20. Although this is a competitive contest, George Bewley’s charge is potentially well handicapped considering his recent form.
Mister Marker sets the standard for this one as he drops back in class slightly having finished a long way behind Lie Forrit at Kelso at the beginning of January. His previous form would be good enough to see him involved in this but he has been out of form this season.
Of the remaining runners, Everaard and Chavoy look to be the best of them but Whats Up Woody can go close again. He stays well and over three miles and three furlongs, his stamina may prove the strongest.
At 3.50, Peter Carberry looks to have a strong mount with Jennie Candish’s Kilkenny Kim. Carberry takes a valuable three pounds off the mare who finished third at Ayr last time but didn’t fully see out the two and a half mile trip. She drops back to two miles here and can make the most of a decent handicap mark.
Scimon Templar is likely to be the biggest danger comparing his hurdles mark to his chase mark but he is yet to win in 14 attempts over hurdles.
Kilkenny Kim looks the most solid option of the seven runners.
The last race at the Scottish venue is another very competitive heat and again with another small field, the Each way value is simply not there.
Little Glenshee, Silverton and Plus Jamais are closely matched on their previous chase form. Little Glenshee has the best form of these three with some good efforts in slightly better class races. Silverton is quite similar to the top weight but wasn’t able to cope with a further hike in the handicap last time when finishing 23 lengths off the winner on a mark of 112.
No Deal returned at the start of January following a two year absence and ran a nice race finishing behind the 144 rated Runswick Royal over a trip that was far from adequate. On his previous form, the son of Revoque was very versatile in terms of trip with wins at both two miles and three. Today he runs over two and a half and following that good run last time, he can go close again and No Deal looks to be the value.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9; bankers are 10 points)
BET 8pts win (Nap) SIROP DE MENTHE (3.10 Plumpton)
BET 4pts win WHAT’S UP WOODY (3.20 Ayr)
BET 6pts win KILKENNY KIM (3.50 Ayr)
BET 4pts win BALLYEGAN (4.10 Plumpton)
BET 4pts win NO DEAL (4.50 Ayr)
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