NOW IT’S A GOLDEN FIVE NAPS ON THE TROT: Nap-happy BETDAQ tipster Daqman continued on a roll with his best bets through Deepsand (WON 4-6) at Ayr yesterday.
THEY’VE MADE 86 POINTS PROFIT: He reduced his normal stake to 10 points at SP and his Monday winner was subject to a 25% deduction, but his five include a 20-point banker so that he’s netted a total of 86.66 from the winning streak. The sequence is:
WON 4-6 TUESDAY: Deepsand makes it five in a row
WON 4-1 MONDAY: Patriotic (counts as 3-1 after deduction)
WON 5-4 SUNDAY: Harry Topper completes the hat-trick
WON 5-4 SATURDAY: Chatterbox to a 20-point-banker stake
WON 13-8 FRIDAY: Broxbourne sets the ball rolling
TODAY: Can Daqman hit a six and win 20 more points? Well, we know he’ll try.
TOMORROW: After the dust settles, his verdict on the Grand National weights.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: Daqman at the big meetings: Sandown, Ascot and Haydock.
If and but, why not? That sums up the headache of trying to find another winning nap. Low-level racing is full of ifs and buts, and the ‘why not’ has to be: is it value on BETDAQ this morning?
Ifandbutwhynot (3.40 Musselburgh) runs in the best jumps race of the day. The class-2 hurdle earlier on would have been the tops but it is dominated by Peddlers Cross (1.40) and you wouldn’t thank me for continuing my sequence with a long-odds-on shot, 35lb clear in the official ratings (two stone on the weights to be carried).
Musselburgh comes with a health warning for your wallet, the biggest single threat to a punter’s well-being: the ground has changed; worse still, there is rain expected in the afternoon on top of an official good-to-firm terrain. Sticky wicket?
Ifandbutwhynot is a bumper winner on good going and plummets down the grades here after being beaten favourite in a Listed at Sandown, when up 13lb on his original assessment for a novice handicap which he won at Cheltenham. One ‘but’ is that his success so far has all come going left-handed.
This, at last, is Ultimate’s ground, ‘if’ it stays on top. He’s been struggling to cope with the soft and, as a result, has dropped to a mark 9lb lower over hurdles than for his last success in a chase.
Roman Flight won his maiden hurdle on good but seems pegged in class-4 on his Flat and jumps form to date, though his yard is in great heart with current form-figures of 13033231.
Anna’s Arch should set a fair pace, which will suit both Ifandbutwhynot and Cry Of Freedom, a Listed winner on the Flat who has been running in novice hurdles as a 125 animal ‘but’, after his even-money defeat at Huntingdon, has been put in his first handicap today off 121. His best form is going right-handed.
Blinkered for the first time, Ultimate’s course-and-distance fourth to Swing Bowler puts him in with a big shout ‘but’ John Ferguson knows that Cry of Freedom goes best fresh and 5.4 on BETDAQ this morning is my first position on a race which could change with the going.
Ultimate’s trainer, Brian Ellison, must have bought some new tack! As well as putting the blinds on Ultimate, he’s found another pair for Local Present (2.40), also favoured by good ground and with a jockey booking which suggests he’s the business today: 7.4 on BETDAQ.
Local Present is Tom Scudamore’s only ride of the day for a trainer with a 55% record in chases on the course.
LINGFIELD Ellie In The Pink (4.00) looks like beating Zaheeb, with that one’s trainer without a winner for nearly a year. Crowning Star’s threat has diminished with his drifting right out to 9.4, as I write.
McVicar (4.30) was a value bet at 5.5 this morning: a winner on turf a class higher than today, he was good enough to try a Graded race over hurdles after back-to-back wins in the autumn.
Safwaan is half-a-stone higher than for class-6 winning form. On their latest hurdles starts, McVicar is 18lb better than Whipcrackaway, who has to give him 2lb here, and McVicar is likely to try to make all. Does that add up to a nap? ‘Why not’.
I doubt his pace will suit Conducting, ‘but’ I give a throwaway chance for pennies to old Smokey Oakey (47.0 this morning): he was running a cracker over hurdles in the autumn when he fell, a close second, and he is 11lb lower than for a good effort on today’s course on his last AW start. Goes well fresh.
BETDAQ RACING AT KEMPTON Some things haven’t changed: Betdaq sponsors the first four races at Kempton Park tonight.
Windforpower (6.30) keeps on winning (5f) or finishing second (6f): tonight it’s 6f and he’s been raised 3lb. It’s a trip which saw Sand Boy stroll home here in his maiden and he seems to have been given a fair mark.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 3.1pts win LOCAL PRESENT (2.40 Musselburgh)
BET 4.5pts win CRY OF FREEDOM (3.40 Musselburgh)
BET 7.5pts win ELLIE IN THE PINK (4.00 Lingfield)
BET 4.4pts win (nap) McVICAR and 0.4pts win and place SMOKEY OAKEY (4.30 Lingfield)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3pts win treble Peddlers Cross (1.40 Musselburgh), McVicar (4.30 Lingfield) and Sand Boy (6.30 Kempton)
Daqman’s selections are backed to win 20 points, so you know the offer he took (divide 20 by the stake). Daq Multiples are staked as advised and settled at SP.
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