10.0 VALUE BOOSTS BIG FINALE: Daqman’s final fling on the Flat yesterday brought in a 68-point profit from winners at Doncaster and Aintree, and a Double Whammy of a big-odds place at Wincanton in the same race as a successful lay.
WIN: Broxbourne (WON 6-1)
WIN: Princess Loulou (WON 6-1)
WIN: Royal Palladium (2nd 20-1)
WIN: lay, Alfie Spinner (unplaced 14-1)
Princess Loulou was tipped at a value 10.0 on BETDAQ; Royal Palladium, trying to make all, was beaten only half a length at 22.0.
DAQMAN BEATS PRICEWISE BY 82: Daqman beat Pricewise 2-1 for winning bets on the day, so that the season’s final scores were Daqman 105, Pricewise 23, and the overall totals are now 246-96, taking Daqman into a 150 lead over his Racing Post rival, as he beat him for the fourth consecutive season.
NOW IT’S EIGHT LAYS IN A ROW: Our man made it eight consecutive winning lays when, not for the first time, he cheekily opposed the unplaced Pricewise tip, Alfie Spinner:
WIN Bathos (unplaced 4-1)
WIN Grendisar (4th 9-4 favourite)
WIN Zebstar, place lay (unplaced 12-1)
WIN Cameraman (2nd 9-4 favourite)
WIN Gleneagles (unplaced 9-4)
WIN Wild Storm (unplaced 5-2 favourite)
WIN Fame Game (unplaced 4-1 favourite)
WIN Alfie Spinner (unplaced 14-1)
FULL WINNINGS STORY AND JUMPS CAMPAIGN: Look out later in the week for the story of this year’s Daqman success. And his plans for many more winners to come.
+ TOMORROW: Daqman analyses BETDAQ racing at Kempton Park
+ TUESDAY: The story of the Daqman Flat season of 2015
+ WEDNESDAY: New bets structure for the 2015-16 Jumps campaign, and the golden rules of winter betting.
+ THURSDAY: Horses to follow.
CONEYGREE CAN CASH IN ON UNFIT RIVALS
2.25 Sandown (Future Stars Chase) Returning Gold Cup winners don’t have a great record; some are wrapped in cottonwool with the big Spring prizes in mind.
But today, Coneygree, first novice to capture the gold at Cheltenham since 1974, is rivaled by two not-at-their-peak rivals, Southfield Theatre (‘will come on for the run,’ quote unquote Paul Nicholls) and Puffin Billy (‘he’s missed some work,’ Oliver Sherwood).
I said ‘two rivals’ because we’d have to have a tectonic-plate shift for Seventh Sky to win, if the handicapper is right: he’s 25lb behind Coneygree in the official ratings.
As with too many races at this time of year, you face either an unbackable favourite or a mix of young potential (the other top chase today, the 1.40 Navan is both!)
3.00 Sandown So don’t beat yourself up at this time, or bet for the sake of it.
You are human after all; so are the trainers. Take a lesson from this race.
Not one but two trainers made the mistake of overfacing horses that were now dropped sharply back in grade today.
Alan King admits he got a bit overexcited about one of the stable’s favourites, Winner Massagout, throwing him into the deep end of a Grade 1 at Aintree after he won a Kempton maiden.
Evan Williams aimed almost as high (Grade 2) with debut-maiden scorer Cape Caster. In fact, the pair met the same horse: All Yours was first or second in both races.
Winner Massagout – aiming at the Greatwood – has been withdrawn today because he needs a sound surface, but Cape Caster has won on the soft, scored first time out, and Evan Williams current winners tally is three out of seven, all three ridden by today’s Cape Caster pilot, Adam Wedge: 7.6 on BETDAQ, as I write.
DON’T OVERLOOK FRENCH CHASERS, MILORD!
1.30 Auteuil This Grade 1 for four-year-old chasers threw up Long Run in 2009. If there’s a Long Run in today’s field, it is likely to be in the care of trainer Guillaume Macaire.
Macaire runs two, Kobrouk, a half-brother to Katgary, whose novice-chase career was launched successfully by Paul Nicholls last month, and So French, by the same sire as RSA winner Don Poli.
2.45 Auteuil Dominique Bressou, who is fending off bids for the young French star, Milord Thomas, expects him to win this Grade 1 chase back to back under Jacques Ricou.
The French Gold Cup winner is rated so special that he may be the subject of a top-line raid on English staying prizes, even taking on Coneygree and Co at Cheltenham in March.
Three against him today are already planning to test our best in the King George at Kempton on Boxing Day: stablemates Shannon Rock and Pindare, and the James Reveley ride, Saint Palois.
A Kempton appearance by Shannon Rock would give a big-race line to Milord Thomas, who beat him in the Grand Steeplechase de Paris in the Spring.
And he had Jenny Baie, Saint Palois, Shannon Rock, Saint Pistol and Pindare strung out behind him when failing by a neck to give 11lb to Vezelay a month ago. But that was only 2m 6f. Today is a marathon 3m 3f plus.
ARCTIC FIRE SHOULD FINALLY GET THE BOUQUET
1.40 Navan A small field but a fascinating clash of top trainers Aidan O’Brien, Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins, not forgetting Noel Meade, who has won this race twice in the decade.
Can Plinth give the weight away? ‘Yes’, say the stats, which reveal six out of nine winners from the top of the card. But ‘no’, say the ratings, with Plinth at a 33lb disadvantage with Cheltenham Champion Hurdle runner-up Arctic Fire.
Arctic Fire is a long-term bridesmaid, having scored only once in 13 attempts since he broke his maiden. But he’s been placed behind ex-champion of champions Hurricane Fly (twice) and the current champion, Faugheen (twice).
Plinth was back to form in October, which gives him a fitness edge over ring-rusty rivals and the ground is in his favour, but the nearest he ever got to Hurricane Fly was 17 lengths.
Tagliatelle won a Grade 3 at Aintree; Monksland was short-headed in a Grade 2 at Gowran (the Galmoy); and Carlingford Lough won the Leopardstown Hennessy in February, but his stable is out of form.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9 for strength; 10 is a banker)
BET 8pts win (nap) ARCTIC FIRE (1.40 Navan)
BET 6pts win MILORD THOMAS (2.45 Auteuil)
BET 4pts win CAPE CASTER (3.00 Sandown)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 6pts win double ARCTIC FIRE (1.40 Navan) and CONEYGREE (2.25 Sandown) and 2pts win treble the same two with Cape Caster (3.00 Sandown)
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