NAPS HAT-TRICK AND HENNESSY ONE-TWO AT 20-1 AND 8-1: Daqman blazed a sensational trail through big-race Saturday yesterday with a 3-1 nap, following his two winning bankers, and the winner and second in the Hennessy at 20-1 and 8-1:
He opposed an odds-on shot to land the 3-1 nap.
He scored with his Outsider Of The Day at 14-1
He named first and second in two big races
His Hennessy 1-2 paid a 169-1 forecast with Ladbrokes
110 POINTS PROFIT ON DAY THAT BELONGED TO BETDAQ: With BETDAQ value on his side, Daqman made a profit on the day of 110 points with seven returns in a sequence of punter-friendly races:
WON 3-1 Ballyalton (nap, from 4.9 on BETDAQ)
WON 14-1 Tatenen (from 19.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 8-11 My Tent Or Yours with place Grumeti (3rd 9-1 from 14.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 5-1 Hey Big Spender (Vintage Star, 2nd 9-4)
WON 20-1 win and place Triolo d’Alene (Rocky Creek, 2nd 8-1)
HE LEADS PRICEWISE 8-1 IN VALUE HUNT: In his week-old challenge to the Racing Post value tipster, Pricewise, Daqman now leads 8-1, eight returns – win and place – to Pricewise’s one, with:
WON 6-1 GEVREY CHAMBERTIN (9.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 5-1 SYDNEY PAGET (7.2 on BETDAQ)
WON 3-1 MORE OF THAT (4.3 on BETDAQ)
WON 8-11 MY TENT OR YOURS
3rd 9-1 GRUMETI (from 14.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 5-1 HEY BIG SPENDER
WON 20-1 win and place TRIOLO D’ALENE (21.0 on BETDAQ)
12.40 Fairyhouse (Royal Bond Novice Hurdle) Willie Mullins’ 2012 favourite in this, Champagne Fever, failed to give 3lb to Jezki but turned the tables at level weights in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham. Quality or what!
If vou want more proof of just how big this race can be, check out previous winners, from Hardy Eustace (2002) to Hurricane Fly himself (2008).
A trio of Mullins’ contenders today – his recent results in this heat are 1112 – seems headed by Alonso, the choice of Ruby Walsh. Alonso, currently a 33-1 shot for the Supreme Novices in March, and Renneti are once raced, as was Mullins’ 2011 winner, Sous Les Cieux.
Arctic Fire came down at Gowran after clipping heels and slipping up at the second last. Like Alonso and Renneti, he won first time in Ireland, switched to Mullins from racing in the French provinces.
Jessica Harrington’s pair cannot be ignored: Mr Fifty One ran up to Diakali at Naas, and Diakali is one of Jezki’s opponents in the Hatton’s Grace Hurdle later on today.
But shortest of her pair is Gambling Girl, and likely to be shorter with the Pricewise pimple on it. She gets between 7lb and 10lb from all in today’s field but it’s not normally a fillies’ race – she needs to be as good as Like-A-Butterfly 12 years ago – and good ground today means there is no special premium on weight.
I find it hard to see anything stopping Alonso until the rains come, since he is said to need this better ground and, as a winner over 2m 4f, may be too strong for these.
Minella Foru, who beat Very Wood, looks a danger, with Tony McCoy in the saddle, as a Point winner over 3m, who’s won back-to-back hurdles at the minimum trip.
A nervous Stuart Crawford declared he would be ‘in no hurry’ with Gift Shadow after his winning reappearance, but he’s been tempted to pit this Beneficial five-year-old against the four-year-olds here, with the stats revealing that the score is currently 5-5 between the two age groups.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Alonso, Gift Shadow and Minella Foru are power horses with stamina, and they are going to make it count, giving Gambling Girl a hard task to show her speed, despite the concession, if she is to land Jessica Harrington her third win in eight years.
I will take Alonso (5.0 in a 102% BETDAQ orange) as the Mullins’ best but Gift Shadow (7.2) was runner-up in the Punchestown champion bumper won by The Liquidator, who recently took the Cheltenham Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Trial by 15 lengths.
1.10 Fairyhouse (Drinmore Novice Chase) We’ve had an RSA runner-up and a Lexus winner from this in recent years, with favourites and second favourites taking five out of six of these.
Clar Na Mionn and Carlingford Lough look well exposed, and Sizing Rio and Don Cossack are the market leaders, as I write. Total percentages on BETDAQ: 103.
Don Cossack jumped well on his chasing debut behind the impressive Morning Assembly at Punchestown, and Sizing Rio is on a hat-trick, but neither is bred in the jumping purple.
Carlingford Lough (5.7 this morning) is by the sire of Cue Card and a whole host of top jumpers and, at level weights, with McCoy up, will be hard to beat.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: McCoy made the difference when Carlingford Lough won the Galway Plate, and they were the ‘moral’ when runners-up in the Kerry National, at five lengths, giving 17lb to the winner. A tough combination for the youngsters to beat here.
1.55 Carlisle Peter Bowen and Henry Daly rate this prize big enough for long treks North from Shropshire and Welsh Wales, though they share top weight in this 3m 2f marathon.
Harouet (Bowen) has been this way before but goes for a Carlisle hat-trick off 4lb higher than any wining market, so must improve again.
The front-running grey Saffran De Cotte (Daly) has had a long holiday since he tailed off, failing at his first attempt to make the leap from novice chases.
They have to give more than astone to Tutchev but will the Nicky Richards’ front-runner settle well enough, raised in trip here?
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Big weight concessions and stamina doubts suggest that they might let in the stayer Herdsman, who put back to back wins together early in the year when last he was right.
Though the drying ground is against him, the stiff, undulating Carllisle track (the Cheltenham of the North) will help and I took 6.4 on BETDAQ this morning. A sporting nap for the four-timer.
2.15 Fairyhouse (Hatton’s Grace Hurdle) Solerina, Brave Inca and Hurricane Fly are winners in the decade that bear comparison with the great Hatton’s Grace, three times Champion Hurdle winner for the legendary Vincent O’Brien.
And today’s field, though a small one, could yield a champion in either Jezki or Rule Of the World, and the four-year-old Diakali, though an unlikely winner this year, has a big future in the game.
Diakali is the first to try this at his age since 2002 and would be the first four-year-old winner. Zaidpour won the Royal Bond three years ago on the way to taking this prize but I expect him to be overwhelmed by the young bloods in conditions that don’t suit him.
Jezki is the recent Royal Bond scorer, and he went on to double up in the Punchestown Champion Novice, when Rule The World broke down.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Jezki has to prove himself at this 2m 4f. Rule Of The World has to reclaim the heights after serious injury. The ground is against Zaidpour and youth is against Diakali. It’s not a betting race, is it! But, if you do bet, stay on BETDAQ, where there is 103% ‘book’.
2.50 Fairyhouse No winner of a double-figure age. Nothing for nine years that could carry more than 11st 1lb. These stats speak volumes for Ruby Walsh’s taking the ride on the lightweight Prosperity Square, 10.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
DAQMAN’S VERDICT: Prosperity Square, out of an Over The River mare, is ideally made for the step up to this marathon trip. There’s even a line through Another Palm which puts him close to the favourite, Sword Fish, who’s never been able to hold his form before.
11.04 Hollywood Derby Is our Cambridgeshire fifth, Seek Again, good enough to win the Derby at Hollywood Park tonight?
Or is John Gosden merely sunning himself – it’s 72 degrees there – on his old California stamping ground, where Bates Motel launched his career in the Santa Anita Handicap in 1983? The answer to both questions may be a resounding ‘yes.’
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points).
BET 5pts win ALONSO and 3.2pts win GIFT SHADOW (12.40 Fairyhouse)
BET 4.2pts win CARLINGFORD LOUGH (1.10 Fairyhouse)
BET 3.7pts win (nap) HERDSMAN (1.55 Carlisle)
BET 2.7pts win TAFIKA (2.05 Leicester)
BET 2.5pts win DOVILS DATE (2.35 Leicester)
BET 2.2pts win and place (Outsider Of The Day) PROSPERITY SQUARE (2.50 Fairyhouse)
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