GOLD END TO THE NIGHTMARE? Can Daqman’s Royal Ascot luck turn on the day he brings back his bankers sequence with a ‘gold’ and sees his surviving ante-post bet run in the Gold Cup? Daqman must surely be ‘owed one’ after this kind of torture yesterday (quotes from the Racing Post):
NOT CLEAR RUN: ‘switched; not clear run again, switched; would surely have won’ (Sir Isaac Newton)
NOT IN THE RACE: gamble; refused to enter stalls; withdrawn controversially (Euro Charline)
NIGHTMARE PASSAGE: ‘continually denied a run’, beaten short-head, ‘painful’, led inches after the line (The Grey Gatsby)
BLEW THE START: ‘Did remarkably well to finish so close after blowing the start’ (Touchline)
FOUR-RACE TILT AT VALUE: Says Daqman philosophically: ‘It happens to the best and it happens to the rest.’ His rival, Pricewise, has also drawn on a blank on the first two days, so that the value challenge to the trade-paper tipster remains at 37-9 to Daqman, with the races in competition today: 2.30, 4.20, 5.00, 5.35 Royal Ascot.
SEVEN BANKERS OUT OF 10: Daqman’s bankers have scored seven from 10 since the switch to silver, gold and diamond grading:
WON 8-13 Telescope (gold)
WON 8-13 Soapy Aitken (silver)
WON 4-5 Yorkidding (silver)
WON 2-5 Gleneagles (diamond)
WON 11-10 Leaderene (silver)
WON 13-8 Golden Horn (gold)
WON 9-10 Tamadhor
LOG OFF HANNON JAZZ AND PLAY A PLACE
2.30 Royal Ascot (Norfolk Stakes) You can only call it as you see it. King Of Rooks looked like the first real banker of the meeting, currently 7lb clear of any of his rivals in this, and with his five-lengths National Stakes success boosted by Buratino’s win in the Coventry and Steady Pace’s third in the Windsor Castle.
But his stablemate Log Out Island, who made an impressive debut on today’s course, handling well these wide open spaces, and slamming Buratino by around the same margin, has been switched to this from the Coventry.
If Hannon can’t split them, how can you, at offers which provide no margin until trading when the race is on. If you want to join in the duel, back one now and hope to improve on the price of the other one during the race.
You had a level playing-field, 100% BETDAQ orange in which to take a position this morning.
Such amazing value on the exchange presents huge offers about the rest of the field, and the best-looking outsider (physically as well as on form) is Jazz Legend, by the same sire as yesterday’s runaway Queen Mary filly, Acapulco.
He’s unlikely to show the same freak engine – at 23.0 on BETDAQ early mouse – but Jazz Legend’s place odds were better than both win odds about the Hannon duellists.
Daqman’s 1-2-3: King Of Rooks 1, Jazz Legend 2, Log Out Island 3
IRISH RAIDER HAS KISS OF CLASS YET SHE’S 8.4
3.05 Royal Ascot (Tercentenary Stakes) Another 100-in-100-out list of offers. Delete one horse at the front of the BETDAQ market and you can back everything else and win.
The London Gold Cup winner Time Test tries to follow in the hoofprints of last year’s winner of this, who did the Sandown-Ascot double.
He has a high cruising speed but is is the obvious knock-out since, though favourite as I write, NINE of his rivals are in front of him on official ratings.
He has improved, and can improve further, but this is a race of three-year-olds and any one, or all, of the others can do the same, particularly those least exposed. EIGHT others have raced as many, or fewer, times as Time Test.
He takes out 30% of the orange, so that you can win 100 for 70 level-staked on the rest of the field.
Time Test is moving up two grades from a handicap, whereas Irish raider Bocca Baciata (‘lips that have been kissed’) is dropping two from the Irish 1,000 Guineas, yet has 8.4 offers as I write. Does she have the pace on the fast ground?
Cape Clear Island loved it at Newbury but had to race on soft in France, seventh in the Derby at Chantilly. Should reverse Sandown Classic Trial placings with Master Apprentice but blinkers worry me at this level, just as the visor on Disegno is off-putting.
Disegno was third when Peacock was second to Epsom Derby winner, Golden Horn, in the Fielden. Peacock has displayed a round action but it was firmish at Newmarket that day and he needs the extra furlong here.
Not So Sleepy, who beat Disegno at in the Dee Stakes Chester, may also prefer some cut in the ground.
Daqman’s 1-2-3: Bocca Baciata 1, Peacock 2, Time Test 3
PLEASCACH MY BANKER IN THE RIBBLESDALE
3.40 Royal Ascot (Ribblesdale Stakes) One of my most pleasing moments of the season so far was picking the explosive by name and nature, Pleascach, and watching her win the Irish 1,000 Guineas.
Bocca Baciata can boost that form in the Tercentenary but will Pleascach stay the extra half-mile of this ‘Royal Ascot Oaks’?
In fact, she was nominated for the Irish Derby after her 1,000 success but has since been bought by Godolphin, who have changed the plans.
Pleascach finished a stone in front of Curvy last season but the Galileo filly has improved (officially) 34lb this year through handicaps to a Group-3 defeat of Epsom Derby fourth, Giovanni Canaletto, in the Gallinule.
Pamona, Entertainment and Brandybend all raced together at Newbury, showing form that doesn’t threaten, and Wedding Vow flopped at Lingfield after running up to Legatissimo at Gowran.
The stayer of the race is Gretchen (10.5 on BETDAQ this morning), a Galileo who has Leger and Cup horses in her pedigree, and looks very promising Park Hill material for later on. She is already a winner at today’s trip but that was her only race.
Daqman’s 1-2-3: Pleascach 1, Gretchen 2, Curvy 3
PARIS IS THE GOLD PICK IF MIZZOU TRIPS UP
4.20 Royal Ascot (Gold Cup) This column is on Mizzou at 8.0 ante-post with BETDAQ layers, which is 20% better than offers about him in the orange this morning in a 103% list. We can’t lose if we back the entire opposition.
But, unless you are a professional, working to a small percentage profit from huge stakes on blanket coverage with algorithmns (I know a man who is), you don’t bet that way, and you might want to spend your ‘winnings’ on something else in the race, which you can now view as you would a 95% book.
With the ground doubts about Forgotten Rules, I shall oppose him, even though his reappearance win came in the Vintage Crop Stakes from which four horses have completed the double today since 2007.
Biographer, Simenon, Tac De Boistron and Windshear would also prefer some ease in the surface.
Vent De Force and Forever Now were put in their place by Mizzou in the Henry 11 Stakes at sandown, and though Kingfisher won the Saval Beg (14f) he is not bred to get six furlongs further and has had only 13 days to recover from that race.
At the offers (13.0), I fancy Trip To Paris, the Chester Cup winner who can overturn his Sandown second to Vent De Force, which puts him just behind Mizzou.
Daqman’s 1-2-3: Mizzou 1, Trip To Paris 2, Forgotten Rules 3
YORKSHIRE DALES 29.0 BRITANNIA SHOCK?
5.00 Royal Ascot (Britannia Stakes): One of my favourite races because still a traditional handicap – one of the few left on the calendar – with a 19lb range, top to bottom.
There’s been no winner with more than 9st since 2007 but, through Always Smile, Sahaafy, just a pound ‘too high’, represents the Sandringham Listed form of yesterday’s winner, Osaila, who scored earlier in the Nell Gwyn Classic trial.
Capel Path (given a lot to do at Ascot last time), Quick Defence and Yorkshire Dales looked very smart in their preps for this. I’ll take the 11.0 Sahaafy and Capel Path, with Yorkshire Dales (29.0) my outsider for a stable doing so well this season.
Daqman’s 1-2-3: Sahaafy 1, Capel Path 2, Yorkshire Dales 3
MARMA’S BOY LOOKS BIG AT BETDAQ 18.0
5.35 Royal Ascot (King George V Stakes) Ryan Moore has been giving a master class at Ascot this week and Dissolution will be hard to beat, if poor value (5.0) among Sir Michael Stoute’s trio.
Taper Tantrum (11.0) stayed on up the hill at Epsom over 10 furlongs in good company, as if he would get this 1m 4f.
Marma’s Boy (18.0), a rapid improver in the Spring , has been saved up for this and sits nicely in the handicap.
Daqman’s 1-2-3: Marma’s Boy 1, Dissolution 2, Taper Tantrum 3
DAQMAN’S BETS (stakes declared for each bet)
BET (to win 30 points, both win and place): 1.3pts win and 7pts place JAZZ LEGEND (2.30 Royal Ascot)
BET (each to win 30 points): 5.5pts win PEACOCK and 4pts win BOCCA BOCIATA (3.05 Royal Ascot)
GOLD BANKER: BET 30pts win (nap) PLEASCACH (3.40 Royal Ascot)
ANTE-POST BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 7pts win MIZZOU (4.20 Royal Ascot), plus 2.5pts win and place (win 30) TRIP TO PARIS today.
BULL’S-EYE BETS (each to win 50): 5pts win SAHAAFY and CAPEL PATH, and 2pts win and place YORKSHIRE DALES (5.00 Royal Ascot)
TON-UP BETS (win 100): 10pts win TAPER TANTRUM and 5.8pts win and place MARMA’S BOY, with 5pts win (stakes saver) DISSOLUTION (5.35 Royal Ascot)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 2pts win doubles and 1pt win treble PLEASCACH (3.40 Royal Ascot), MIZZOU (4.20 Royal Ascot) and MARMA’S BOY (5.35 Royal Ascot)
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