EARLY BETDAQ BET ON THE ARC: Daqman makes a plea for stronger Group-1 fields as the Classic-generation challenge to the established stars hots up with the King George just around the corner. Daqman takes an early plunge into the Arc pool.
A DOUBLE WHAMMY AT WOLVER: He dares lay an afternoon Wolverhampton favourite and bet against it. That’s what he calls a double whammy. The nap is at Pontefract, and there’s a sweetheart of a bet at Brighton tonight.
IT’S HOBBS CHOICE ON BETDAQ FOR THE ARC
Don’t miss this golden opportunity, Ascot! It was a great performance because The Grey Gatsby is no slouch, but the Eclipse was really a match, with Golden Horn given the advantage of an age allowance.
Far too often, one horse frightens away the opposition, but above all English tracks, Ascot has attracted international competition, particularly at the royal meeting.
I now hope they are working behind the scenes to guarantee a double-figure field for the King George. Punters want it, racing wants it and breeders need to test the top three-year-olds to the utmost.
Meanwhile, inducements should also begin by Longchamp to guarantee that we get a good field of second-season animals to attack Treve in the Arc de Triomphe in October.
I’d like to see Golden Horn in both, now that we know that this is his final season. But I have a strong suspicion that he will be gone after Ascot, and that Treve will face – on current form – Jack Hobbs as the main opposition.
Even if Golden Horn ran, I am inclined to think that Jack Hobbs has so much improvement in him, he could be the better animal by the autumn. So it is that I believe the 8.0 Jack Hobbs for the Arc represents betting value on BETDAQ.
LUCKY LUCA BACK ON STRIKE WITH LILIAN
3.10 Pontefract You know you can find triers in a fillies’ Listed, the whole point being the acquisition of black type for the sales catalogue.
Pelerin has already won a Listed, and Merry Me and Queen Catrine have both been Listed placed.
The predicted showers would be a big boost to Merry Me (6.6 on BETDAQ this morning), who should reverse Epsom form with Gratzie at today’s weights.
Temptress is the big improver of the race, climbing 12lb in the ratings this year from just two outings, including runner-up to Gm Hopkins in the Royal Hunt Cup.
5.10 Pontefract Luca Cumani, who had been missing strike with 10 out of 11 in the first four without winning, managed to go close in the Lancashire Oaks and the Old Newton Cup in between winners at Doncaster and Nottingham. That’s better.
Luca sends a filly up to Pontefract today, Lilian Bayliss, stepped up in trip for her handicap debut, and a market order this morning.
King Of The Celts is unlikely to hold long-time loser Monsea on revised terms, which reveals just what this field is made of. Not a lot.
BLOND MOMENT CUE FOR A DOUBLE WHAMMY
3.25 Wolverhampton BETDAQ columnist Hayley Turner has five rides on the Midlands track this afternoon, including Talawat in this one.
Talawat cost 260,000gns as a half-sister to Group-1 winner, Zoffany, who is flying in his first season as a stallion.
Talawat was a tasty 6.2 in the BETDAQ orange, early mouse. But I also had to back Liberality, another from a good family, and trained by John Gosden, who is 50% with newcomers at Wolver.
3.55 Wolverhampton There comes a time when the offers demand that you have a tilt. And this maiden fillies’ race is just such a temptation. Double-whammy day!
On all known form, emphasised by the market, this is a two-horse race, or rather a two-filly test. There’s very little between them on form, yet one of them is 3.1 as I write.
When there is a duel – and 15.5 bar suggests this is just such an occasion – then my mental maths says it’s 1-1 (even money), add one for accident, and 2.0 is value.
But does one of them have ‘an edge’? I’d say. Althania, the 3.1 offer, is better equipped on breeding to get the trip than Amazing Speed, and the filly that beat her at Salisbury, Blond Me, won a very hot Listed at Sandown on Saturday.
Blond Me beat Althania’s stablemate Jellicle Ball at Sandown by little more than she’d beaten Althania at Salisbury. If it was Jellicle Ball not Althania in today’s race, she would be odds on.
GOOD NIGHT FOR SWEETHEART AT BRIGHTON
7.25 Brighton Trainer William Knight, local to Brighton, has just had a spell of 10 races, in which he won four and was placed four; that’s an 80% win-and-place strike-rate.
Take out Andrew Balding, and the rest of the yards represented in this race have been able to muster a grand total of only one winner in the last fortnight.
Balding saddles Cape Victoria, which leapfrogged Precision Five to go to the front of the BETDAQ market this morning, while Knight runs Sweetheart Abbey: I shall dutch them at 3.4 and 5.8 respectively.
DAQMAN’S BETS (stakes as per strength of bet, 1 to 9)
BET 7pts win TEMPTRESS and 3pts win MERRY ME (3.10 Pontefract)
BET 7pts win LIBERALITY and 3pts win TALAWAT (3.25 Wolverhampton)
DOUBLE WHAMMY: LAY 5pts AMAZING SPEED and BET 5pts win ALTHANIA (3.55 Wolverhampton)
BET 8pts win (nap) LILIAN BAYLIS (5.10 Pontefract)
BET 4pts win CAPE VICTORIA and 2pts win SWEETHEART ABBEY (7.25 Brighton)
ANTE-POST: BET (to win 50) 7pts win JACK HOBBS (Arc de Triomphe, Longchamp, October)
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