FIVE WINNING NAPS OUT OF SEVEN: Absolute Notions was a big Daqman punt at Naas yesterday (3rd 15-8 from 4.6 on BETDAQ) but opened the door to value for Inthepocket (won 9-4). Daqman’s turn came with the nap, Brewing (won 11-10) at Newcastle. The naps sequence is now five winners out of seven, all odds against; two days missing with abandonments:
WON 11-10 BREWING (Tuesday nap)
WON 6-5 SERGEANT PEP (Sunday nap)
WON 6-5 POLITICS (Thursday nap)
WON 11-8 MASTO BASTIE (Wednesday nap)
WON 6-4 VITESSE DU SON (Monday nap)
TOMORROW: Christmas Fortune Cookies preview
THE PICTURE OF SPRINTER SACRE
⭕ 1.15 Hereford Emir Sacree (BETDAQ 3.95 this morning) is closely related to Sprinter Sacre and looks like him.
A really good-looking horse, winner of two novice chases, has had a wind op before this handicap debut in conditions he likes; he’s a mudlark.
Nocte Volatus has already won in handicap company, following up with a narrow defeat, giving 12lb to the winner in a heat of the middle-distance chase series. He unseated rider in the final last April and hasn’t been seen since.
Equus Dancer is another returning after a long absence and wants good ground, according to his CV.
Magic Dancer has been placed in eight out of nine chases. He is on a hat-trick, after ending last season with a win at Ludlow and starting this with success at Cheltenham. He drops down a grade here.
WINNERS FLOWING FOR VENETIA
⭕ 2.15 Hereford (Mares’ Chase Series Final) Venetia Williams goes for a four-timer in this, all three winners gambled down to favourite on the day.
The suggestion is an early offer on her Flowing Cadenza: that would be 3.8 on BETDAQ this morning.
A hurdles winner on soft and heavy for Bob Buckler, she ran second in her series qualifier first time out for Venetia.
She was trounced 19 lengths that day by Credo, but the ground is in her favour now and all you have to do is follow the market, with your Flowing Cadenza bet in hand.
Venetia managed to get a similar horse home at Ludlow yesterday with Desque De Lisle, when Gumball threw my money into the wind for the very last time!
JUST ANOTHER GALOP IN THE MUD
⭕ 2.30 Lingfield Venetia Williams again? She has another mud-lover in with a big chance, Galop De Chasse; in fact a CD winner here at Lingfield on heavy.
But that also applies to Gallic George, though he usually wins after a break, and this time, 15lb higher than for that Lingfield success, had to give way, second a grade lower than today.
Grandeur d’Ame has won only a maiden hurdle; likewise Thor De Cerisy. Another Crick should be sharper than for his return at Kempton in November and scored second time of asking last season.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 5.0 Galop De Chasse
BEAU NICHOLLS’ DANCING DOUBLE
⭕ 12.53 and 2.53 Taunton Paul Nicholls, currently striking at 38%, gets most of his winners at Wincanton and Taunton (26%).
He’s spreading his wings today and tomorrow for a pre-Christmas tilt with 15 runners at:
Taunton (6 runners today), Hereford (3 today, 24%), Lingfield (3 today, 23%), and Ffos Las (3 on Thursday, 26%).
I’m picking Beau Balko, impressive winner of a bumper in France, made all at Hereford a month back, as if he had a future.
Nicholls likes to raise their game as four-year-olds, and the handicapper says he’s already achieved marginally more than the six-year-old Parramount and a whole lot more than the seven-year-old Norley.
Dancingonthedge (12.53) has been brought along slowly with a view to a career in staying handicaps, and this class 5 is poor quality for one who has been shining at home.
BETDAQ value 4.2 Dancingontheedge (12.53) and 3.7 Beau Balko (2.53)
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.53 Taunton (win 12)
BET 4pts win DANCINGONTHEEDGE
1.15 Hereford (win 12, nap)
BET 4pts win EMIR SACREE
2.15 Hereford (win 10)
BET 3.5pts win FLOWING CADENZA
2.30 Lingfield (win 10)
BET 2.5pts win GALOP DE CHASSE
2.53 Taunton (win 10)
BET 3pts win BEAU BALKO
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
