2-1 NAP SO IT’S FOUR FROM SIX: Daqman, who completed a hat-trick of naps on Saturday, was back with another one at Thirsk yesterday, a three-year-old maiden, unraced this season, Estikhraaj (WON 2-1), to make it four best bets up out of six.
NOW FOR A WEDNESDAY YANKEE: Today Daqman goes along with the allowances given to three-year-olds at this time of year. He finds four second-season animals for a small-stakes yankee. The nap among them is at Catterick.
DAY OR NIGHT, GET MADE UP ON BETDAQ!
Keep your Daq up! While the Racing Post website reported late yesterday ‘Erupt springs into Arc reckoning; clipped to 10-1’, BETDAQ punters with their eye on the ball could still get some liquidity in the ante-post orange at 14.0 last night and 14.5 this morning.
The market still hasn’t settled down after the Eruption, with the best judges in the business, Ladbrokes, 10-1 in the trade paper, and 9-1 quoted in a place on Oddschecker’s layers list early doors today.
I also noticed 3-1 in a place the English Derby winner Golden Horn but a massive 6.0 on BETDAQ, with plenty queued up in the orange bank.
Or, if you think French Derby winner, New Bay, can hack it in the Arc, the general 8-1 with bookmakers looked derisory alongside 18.0 on the Daq, as I write.
Don’t forget that offers on some of the horses running today were also available on BETDAQ last night, while evening racing was still going on at Lingfield and Thirsk.
Unlike betting with bookmakers, who tell you what their fixed odds are then change them if anybody bets, the moveable feast of BETDAQ exchange betting is dictated by the punters themselves.
What you want to offer, you pitch into the orange; what you want to back, you take at the price you want. That’s how the market moves; according to your give and take, not by some accountant’s profits calculator.
As for Erupt, we don’t really know what he beat, since Storm The Stars didn’t run his race, certainly not one which which befits an Epsom and Curragh Derby placed horse.
Balios ran to his Group-3 level but Ampere seemingly improved and its certainly possible for both Erupt and Ampere to take a hand in what seems likely to be a memorable Arc de Triomphe in October.
Meanwhile I’ve been unable to do my usual big-race ABC, where Saturday’s Irish Oaks is concerned; it would have looked ridiculous at this stage., with so many ‘possibles’ from the same yard.
You’ll probably see more news later today on the various websites but, over my cornflakes, there were still seven Ballydoyle fillies left in, making up 44% of the field, and no indication of what will take part.
MOTION PICTURE A ROYAL NAP AT CATTERICK
3.10 Lingfield Three-years-old start to dominate now and the classy Muffri’Ha should be too good for Third Time Lucky, with William Haggas in form (1431 from his last four starters).
Muffri’Ha was the ‘moral’ in a class 2 recently – narrowly beaten, giving weight – and has the speed to to catch the class-3 front-runner.
3.30 Catterick The Queen is ‘a good judge’ and, if she reads this column (as any good judge would), Her Majesty won’t need me to tell her that Motion Picture looks a knocking bet.
Superbly named, as are all her horses (just an OBE will do, ma’am), Motion Picture – by Motivator out of Starshine – takes an appropriate step up in trip for her handicap debut, with Michael Bell’s Catterick credentials 4-8 in the last five seasons.
The rest of the small field looks totally exposed with no wins and only three seconds from 38 starts, and offers around 9-5 on BETDAQ looked tasty this morning; I expected odds on.
3.40 Lingfield Tail-flasher Amour De Nuit had excuses (sustained cut leg) behind The Cashel Man at Nottingham in June but didn’t fare much better, second again, without the hood at Carlisle on the last day (winner Mythical Moment eased down).
8.50 Sandown It makes you wonder what Mythical Moment actually achieved at Carlisle, with the three in the frame behind her all maidens and untrustworthy types.
Sea Of Heaven was beaten favourite when ‘expected’ on the last day (hurdling type), and I shall have a win and place on Artesana, bred for long distance and has indicted such over inadequate trips this term.
DAQMAN’S BETS (1 to 9 for strength)
BET 6pts win MUFFRI’HA (3.10 Lingfield)
BET 9pts win (nap) MOTION PICTURE (3.30 Catterick)
BET 6pts win THE CASHEL MAN (3.40 Lingfield)
BET 2pts win and place ARTESANA (8.50 Sandown)
DAQ MULTIPLES: Half point win yankee the four above.
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