For a long time on Wednesday night it looked like Manchester United would trade at around 1.25 to win the title but City’s brilliant comeback and Samir Nasri’s winner kept the race alive with United at 1.63 and City at 2.55 to back on Betdaq.
Manchester City’s next test is a tough trip to Stoke on Saturday where they haven’t won since a 3-1 victory at the Victoria Ground in September 1981, when Soft Cell were number one in the charts with ‘Tainted Love’. City can go back to the top of the Premier League chart if they avoid defeat.
Kicking off Sky Sports’ Premier League weekend at Saturday lunchtime will be Chelsea (1.92 to back on Betdaq) against Tottenham (4.3). Tottenham’s last win at Chelsea came 22 years ago in February 1990. That same month Cambridge United reached the FA Cup quarter-finals and Nelson Mandela was freed after 27 years in prison. The wheels have come off for Tottenham and I can see them being friendless on the Daq and their lay price drifting from 4.6.
I’ll be at West Brom (2.33) for Super Sunday where the home side could be a great bet to beat Newcastle (3.3). West Brom have won their last two games at The Hawthorns against Sunderland and Chelsea without conceding, while Newcastle have lost four of their last five away. WBA are unbeaten in the last six meetings in all competitions, winning three of last four, and have won the last two against Newcastle at The Hawthorns, scoring seven in the process. A win for West Brom today will give them a first ever PL ‘double’ over Newcastle and a first since 1977-78 after they won the first meeting this season, a 3-2 win at St James’ Park in December. Peter Odemwingie and Gareth McAuley twice gave West Brom the lead, with Demba Ba twice equalising for Newcastle before Paul Scharner scored a late winner. I think West Brom are a great price at 2.33 on Betdaq to complete that double. There have been 20 goals in the last four Premier League meetings so over 2.5 could be the way to go too at 1.97.
Manchester United are in action on the Monday Night Football. The champions are once again in relentless form – 25pts from a possible 27 – in the league at the business end of a season. Despite not playing that well United were ruthless in beating Wolves 5-0 on Super Sunday and now play Fulham, who they also beat 5-0 at Craven Cottage in December. That was Fulham’s biggest ever Premier League defeat and it’s hard to see them stopping the United juggernaut.
United (1.26) have won the last eight meetings with Fulham (16) at Old Trafford in all competitions and have not conceded in the last four. Going further back, United have won 18 of last 19 meetings at home. I hope you can join Gary Neville and I from 7pm on Sky Sports 1HD.
England’s Test series in Sri Lanka starts early on Monday morning – live on Sky Sports. They have looked much better prepared in the warm-up matches than they were for the series against Pakistan. They will also have learnt valuable lessons from the humiliation in that series and I expect them to put it right against Sri Lanka. That mainly refers to the batsmen who all, bar Ian Bell, look in much better nick and I expect Kevin Pietersen to carry his form from the one-dayers in to the Test arena. He looks like a different player and character at the moment and with his confidence restored, I expect Pietersen to have a big series.
As always I think the draw is trading far too short at 2.63/2.72. Laying the draw in the Pakistan series gave us very little worry and even on the slow, dry pitches in Sri Lanka I struggle to see these two sides playing out five days. England’s bowling attack should be far too good again to let that happen. I just hope they don’t wilt in the heat. I shall be backing Pietersen and laying the draw at 2.72.
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