Philadelphia Eagles (5-1, 4-2 ATS) @ Arizona Cardinals (5-1, 4-2 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Arizona -1 (48)
Significant Injuries
Philadelphia: C Jason Kelce (questionable– hernia), LB Mychal Kendricks (questionable– calf), RB Darren Sproles (questionable– knee), WR Brad Smith (out– groin)
Arizona: DE Calais Campbell (questionable– knee), TE Troy Niklas (out– ankle)
Recent Trends
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 14 points
Philadelphia is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. NFC opponents
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a win
Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams
The OVER is 8-3 in Philadelphia’s last 11 road games
The OVER is 5-2 in Arizona’s last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record
The UNDER is 6-2 in Arizona’s last 8 games vs. NFC opponents
The OVER is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Philadelphia
1. The Eagles have been one of the NFL’s best team this season winning 5 of their 6 games and looking impressive in doing so. In their last game they shut out the New York Giants 27-0 and they had a bye last week, so they’re rested, ready, and full of confidence as they head to Arizona this week.
2. Philadelphia has one of the league’s most explosive offenses, a unit that ranks 3rd in points scored (30.5 ppg) and 7th in pass yards per game. On Sunday they face an Arizona defense that has surrendered more passing yards than all but one team leaguewide, so another big day from the Philly offense is expected.
3. The Cardinals rank 28th in total offense and the Eagles have been playing well defensively, surrendering just 18 points per game in their last 3 contests. It’s going to be really, really difficult for Arizona to keep pace with the high-scoring Eagles this week.
Three reasons to back Arizona
1. At 5-1, the Cardinals are indisputably one of the NFL’s best teams and they’re especially good at home, coming out victorious in all three of their opportunities this season despite facing teams like San Diego and San Francisco. This week they face an Eagles team that has been a public favorite since Chip Kelly took the reins prior to last season, so it isn’t surprising that all the value is on the Arizona side here, as the Cardinals are favored by less than a field goal despite their aforementioned track record at home.
2. Arizona has a dominant defense that ranks 5th in points allowed and 2nd against the run, surrendering just 72.5 rushing yards per game. That should serve them well against the run-first Eagles, as the Chip Kelly offense had been rendered ineffective in the past by teams that stop the run and make them one-dimensional.
3. The Eagles are overvalued after their dominant performance against New York in Week 6, with people seemingly forgetting that they’ve had trouble on the road this season. Their only loss came on the road, and in their only other road game they were 14 points behind in the 4th quarter before rallying for a narrow victory. This visit to Arizona will be Philly’s toughest test of the season, and based on the line in this game I think many bettors are overlooking that fact.
Prediction
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