PREMIER LEAGUE: We preview Monday’s Premier League game between BURNLEY v NEWCASTLE with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.


8pm We have Monday Night Football to enjoy this week as Burnley host Newcastle. Burnley have had some poor results already this season; however on the face of it they were probably happy to sitting 15th position with nine points after 12 games heading into the International break considering the way they have been playing. Newcastle would have went into the break very happy too after two back-to-back wins against Watford and Bournemouth.

Newcastle actually jumped out of the bottom three and above Burnley heading into the break; which shows just how tight it is at the bottom of the table. We expect a very close and hard fought game here – it’s hard to see anything else. We have a very open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Burnley 2.92, Newcastle 2.84 and the draw is 3.2.

The thing that seems to be bring Burnley down is their home form. They have collected one win in their last eight home Premier League games – a surprise 4-0 win over Bournemouth. It’s hard to back them with that kind of form especially in front of their home fans. Newcastle haven’t been superb this season; however they did have to start with some tough fixtures and they will be full of confidence after winning their last two.

From a value point of view, we’re happy to back the draw here at 3.2. As we said, it’s hard to see anything but a close game and with Burnley struggling in front of their own fans and Newcastle grinding out games rather than playing good football – we can see both sides cancelling each other out here.

Draw at 3.2.

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  • The home side has opened the scoring in all four Premier League meetings between Burnley and Newcastle, but have only gone on to win once (W1 D3 L0) – Burnley winning 1-0 in this exact fixture last season.
  • Newcastle are winless in their last five top-flight matches against Burnley (D3 L2), last beating them at this level in December 1975.
  • Burnley have alternated between defeat and victory in their last seven Premier League games played on a Monday (W3 D4), losing last time out against Liverpool in January.
  • Newcastle’s last 12 Premier League games played on a Monday have all been away from home – the Magpies have lost 11 of these, winning only at Stoke in January.
  • Burnley have won just one of their last eight Premier League home games (D2 L5), beating Bournemouth 4-0 in September.
  • Newcastle have won both of their last two Premier League games, having failed to win any of their first 10 this season.
  • Newcastle’s Premier League games this season have seen the fewest total goals (24), with the Magpies scoring nine and conceding 15.
  • Burnley have both had the fewest (30) and faced the most (82) shots on target in the Premier League this season.
  • Salomon Rondon scored his first Premier League goals for Newcastle in their 2-1 win against Bournemouth last time out – he’s not scored in consecutive league games since September 2016.
  • Newcastle boss Rafael Benitez has won just one of his last 11 Premier League games against English managers (D6 L4), though that was in his last such match (2-1 vs Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth).

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