Seattle Seahawks (10-4, 7-6-1 ATS) @ Arizona Cardinals (11-3, 10-4 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Seattle -7.5 (36.5)
Significant Injuries
Seattle: TE Anthony Moeaki (questionable– shoulder), DE Demarcus Dobbs (doubtful– ankle), C Max Unger (doubtful– ankle), OT Russell Okung (out– chest)
Arizona: WR Jaron Brown (questionable– toe), QB Drew Stanton (doubtful– knee), G Jonathan Cooper (out– wrist)
Recent Trends
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. NFC West opponents
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record
Arizona is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games
Arizona is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a win
Arizona is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall
The UNDER is 8-1 in Seattle’s last 9 games vs. NFC West opponents
The UNDER is 4-0 in Seattle’s last 4 games overall
The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Arizona’s last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record
The UNDER is 4-1 in Arizona’s last 5 games overall
Three reasons to back Seattle
1. These teams met just four weeks ago and it wasn’t even competitive, as Seattle rolled to an easy 19-3 win. And that was before the Cardinals had to deal with their current quarterback crisis, which makes you think that this time around it could be even worse. The Seahawks are always a great bet on the road against quality opposition, covering 10 times in their last 13 road games against teams with winning records.
2. The Seahawks rank 1st in the league in total defense, 1st in passing defense, and 2nd in points allowed (17.3 ppg). In other words, not much has changed since they steamrolled Denver in last season’s Super Bowl. Four weeks ago they limited the Cardinals to just 3 points, and now Arizona has been forced to turn to Ryan Lindley at quarterback, a 3rd-year player whose career statline is as follows: 51.4% completions, 0 touchdowns, 7 interceptions. This is the guy who will be facing Seattle’s Legion of Boom secondary. Any questions?
3. The Cardinals are good against the run but they’ve been terrible in the secondary this season, ranking 29th in passing defense. The last time Russell Wilson faced the Cards the ball barely hit the ground, as Wilson threw just 5 incompletions in a near-perfect day. There’s no reason to expect anything different this time around.
Three reasons to back Arizona
1. The Cardinals continue to defy expectations, as they won in St. Louis last week and beat Kansas City the week before despite being an underdog both times. Many bettors just aren’t eager to embrace this team, which has made them an absolute goldmine for those who see what’s really going on. Indeed, Arizona’s 10-4 mark against the spread is tied for the NFL’s best, and here they are again, a home ‘dog of more than a touchdown. If you’re even thinking about fading the Cards in this spot, you need to WAKE UP! What else do they have to show you before you’ll believe?
2.The Cardinals have a dominant defense that ranks 3rd in points allowed and has surrendered less than 20 points in six of the team’s last 7 games. They shouldn’t have any trouble with the one-dimensional Seattle offense, a unit that ranks a dismal 29th in pass yards per game and has produced 20 points or fewer four times in the team’s past 5 games.
3. Seattle has been overvalued all year so the line here shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise, but still: it isn’t often you get the opportunity to back an 11-3 team as a 7.5-point home ‘dog. And it’s not like Seattle has been overly reliable, either– they’ve been positively ordinary on the road, losing three times and barely squeaking by the likes of Carolina and Washington, and they’ve been favored in all four of their losses this season. In many ways, losing this game would be par for the course for the 2014 Seahawks.
Prediction
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