Once again the racing Gods had a good laugh at my expense last week which seems to follow after a profitable run as sure as a hangover follows a good night out, but our main bet on Phil Taylor to win the PDC title is still going strong, and we could even get out with a small profit already if that’s the way you do your business?
Last weekend I decided that the bookmakers all drove better cars than I did so I decided to lay the short priced favourites (under 2/1) all Saturday afternoon on BETDAQ to see if that was a way of paying for some extra Christmas presents? As this was a new idea (well, to me anyway), I did cut my stakes down before making myself comfortable surrounded by enough electrics to stock a small store. With Attheraces on the TV and Racing UK on the I-Pad, with the lap top in front of me opened on the BETDAQ site (who else?), I settled down for what I thought would be a profitable afternoon and a bit of fun to boot.
Truth is, the races came a bit thick and fast at times and I struggled to keep on top occasionally, but luckily, having set my rule of no lays over 3.0, I did have gaps where I could catch a breath. About now I was thinking of listing them one by one but that is just lazy writing, so suffice to say that I ended up with a total of eighteen races after adding Fairyhouse to my portfolio, giving eight winners (which were losers in my book) and ten profitable lays, for a pretty much break even scenario after commission, which I might add was a lot less than the BETDAQ rivals charge. I haven’t given up just yet and will now look at a staking plan of some sort (if anyone has any ideas do get in touch), and am more determined than ever to find a way to make a living punting on BETDAQ – I am convinced it can be done.
As for the football, well what can I say, Everton couldn’t see off Norwich which put an end to any hope the accumulator had, while my value bets did not live up to their name, but we live to fight another day, and are way ahead over the past few months and in 2011 overall.
Looking ahead we have a few days off from the racing which is sort of annoying, but then the Sport Of Kings is back with a bang and a half on Boxing Day, with (wait for it) NINE meetings and fifty six races minimum (some could still split at this early stage)? Second guessing who will go where at this time of year is nigh on as difficult as finding the winners so best to stick with the big races as I think there is less likelihood of too many late non runners (famous last words). As you will have seen elsewhere the big race on Boxing Day is the King George VI Chase from Kempton Park, the three-mile showpiece and one of the jewels in the National Hunt crown. It is a cracker of a race each and every renewal, with past winners including Best Mate, Kicking King, and of course Kauto Star, who won this race in 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009, and is back to try again at the grand old age of eleven, rolling on twelve. If he wins again, the cheering will not stop until New Year at the earliest but a fully fit Long Run (2.4 with BETDAQ) should have too many gears with a race under his belt provided he can finally be taught to show our fences a little more respect than those he was brought up with in France.
Binocular, one time Champion Hurdler (2010) is one of those horses I simply never get right, but I did read that he was buzzing and kicking ahead of his return at Newcastle so why did he run so disappointingly? Beaten in to second by Overturn he never looked happy to me, which is why I will oppose him with Rock On Ruby (3.4 with BETDAQ) in the Christmas Hurdle, again from Kempton. Paul Nicholls is having a quiet spell by his high standards (8 winners from his last 48 runners at the time of writing), but this six year old was so impressive on his return at Newbury when seeing off stable companion and favourite Empire Levant in a valuable handicap when giving the runner up lumps of weight. The Champion Hurdle must be under consideration after that run, and that view will be re enforced if he wins this as I hope with a lot more room for improvement than his market rival.
Moving on to other sports and football is on the cards again, with a full Boxing Day programme plus any postponed thanks to a possible transport strike in London. It’s not the easiest week for predictions that I can see but I do feel Newcastle could be overpriced at 3.0 with BETDAQ to win away to lowly Bolton. The barcodes are not playing as well as they did earlier in the season but still have a decent looking team and at the price could be worth a little bet. My idea of the bet of the week in the top division has to be Tottenham Hotspur away to Norwich on the Tuesday (27th). Evens (2.0 with BETDAQ) is too tempting for a team with realistic Champions League ambitions for next season, and on a quiet week, that will do for me!
This weeks suggested bets:
3pts Win LONG RUN Kempton Boxing Day (26th December) at 2.4 BETDAQ Odds
2pts Win ROCK ON RUBY Kempton Boxing Day (26th December) at 3.4 BETDAQ Odds
1pt Win NEWCASTLE versus Bolton 26th December at 3.0 (BETDAQ Odds)
3pts Win TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR versus Norwich Boxing Day 26th December (BETDAQ Odds 2.0).
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