DAQMAN ROYAL HUNT CUP NAP: It was no score between Daqman and Pricewise on an Ascot opening day best forgotten but which will be remembered as the day of Ryan Moore and Gleneagles. So it’s still Daqman 37-9 up this Flat season. He clashes with Pricewise again today in the 2.30, 4.20, 5.00 and 5.35 Royal Ascot.
Here are his headlines:
* IT’S MOORE OF THE SAME
* RIVER RUNNING AT 14.5
* 7.0 CHARLINE A FAST LADY
* GATSBY’S GOT TO BE VALUE
* NAP IN THE ROYAL HUNT CUP
DON’T MISS 100-1 CHANCES TODAY: Two of his bets today are ton-up (win 100) bets, three are bull’s-eye bets (win 50) and his Daq Multiples could land doubles at up to 100-1 and a treble at near on 1,000-1.
ARISE, SIR ISAAC! IT’S MOORE OF THE SAME
2.30 Royal Ascot (Jersey Stakes) Some top-class horses did not run their races yesterday, for whatever reason – the fast ground? – Able Friend, Round Two and Make Believe among them, and layers were caned by the obvious: Solow and Gleneagles. Let’s try again.
Ivawood and Devonshire have the credentials of the last three winners of this: all three were placed in an Irish Guineas.
One of those was the last filly to win it, Ishvana, like Devonshire placed in the Irish 1,000 and, like Devonshire, getting weight from the colts, of course.
Officially, on a pounds-per-length interpretation, Devonshire is a neck or half a length up on Ivawood, if the ratings are right, but Ivawood’s penalty is a big plus for Bossy Guest, who was only half a length behind him in the 2,000 Guineas.
Bossy Guest and recent Lingfield winner Hathal were nominated for the St James’s Palace Stakes, won by Gleneagles yesterday, but switch to this two-grades-lower, one-furlong-shorter Jersey Stakes.
Least exposed of the field are Hathal and one-time Derby hope Sir Isaac Newton, both fast-ground lovers.
There’s another filly getting the allowances, Fadhayyil, who might be a deal better than her fifth in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas, since that was her first run back.
Toscanini, runner-up in the Chesham at this meeting a year ago, was then second to Gleneagles in the National Stakes (Dutch Connection third) – both 7f – but has returned to 6f for his two reappearance runs.
Verdict: Any one of half a dozen could win this. Strictly Ivawood should struggle to give the weight to Bossy Guest but Mick Channon’s horses having been missing strike badly (1-30 in the last week) and his filly Malabar has similarly been a ‘nearly horse’ of the Classics.
No, we want a stable that’s firing and a jockey that’s on fire, and I reckon Sir Isaac Newton is big at around 11.0 this morning on BETDAQ for Ballydoyle and Ryan Moore. Hathal (13.5 offers) and Ivawood the dangers.
I WANTED RIVER RUNNING FOR ME AT 14.5
3.05 Royal Ascot (Queen Mary Stakes) They raced mainly down the middle over sprint distances yesterday, with stalls 1, 3 (twice), 6, 9, 10, 11, 13 and 14 in the frame, but very high stalls didn’t get a look-in.
So it will be interesting to see how Rah Rah handles gate 21, as a front runner, and with Mark Johnston’s two-year-old stock boosted by a Coventry winner yesterday.
Delizia (drawn 8) – ‘she’s all speed’, says the trainer – runs, despite the owner’s dislike of the meeting, giving Johnston one on each side of the track.
On Delizia’s side, Besharah hasn’t been asked a question yet. Wesley Ward, who won this with Jealous Again, withdrew Finnegan yesterday, and Bruised Orange’s sire has had only one winner when ‘firm’ was in the going return.
On Rah Rah’s side, Ward’s other runner, Acapulco (Ryan Moore claimed by the owners) has all the aids and none of the form associated with his stable’s winners here. But the trainer is bullish and talking of ‘unbelievable breezes.’
I took Cry Me A River (stall 15) at a tasty 15.5 on BETDAQ as I write, fourth in the Marble Hill on her first visit to a racecourse.
The winner, Round Two, didn’t do a lot for the form in the Coventry yesterday but the runner-up, Washington DC, landed the Windsor Castle.
Verdict: Cry Me A River showed a fine turn of foot, pitched into the Marble Hill Stakes, and was tenderly handled when her chance was gone. Offers are generous. Acapulco and Besharah the dangers.
7.0 CHARLINE IS A FAST LADY ON THE FIRM
3.40 Royal Ascot (Duke Of Cambridge Stakes) Sir Michael Stoute, who has won this three times in the decade, gives himself two chances of the bragging rights.
His last year’s winner, the lightly-raced Integral, primed in the Lockinge, has more to do this time, carrying a 5lb penalty for winning the Group-1 Sun Chariot in the autumn.
Bragging won a Group 2 at Newmarket last month, a long way in front of Rizeena, whose Clive Brittain stable is only 1-40 on Flat turf this year.
Euro Charline (holds Cladocera on Meydan form) won a Grade 1 at Arlington Park on lightning fast ground.
Verdict: Euro Charline is big at 7.0 BETDAQ offers this morning, with Integral, trading at around even money, the obvious saver.
GATSBY HAS GOT TO BE VALUE OVER EAGLE
4.20 Royal Ascot (Prince Of Wales’s Stakes) Kevin Ryan had egg on his face after old-timer Al Kazeem slammed The Grey Gatsby at The Curragh last month.
He had talked up Gatsby for his French Derby win, and for his defeat of Epsom Derby winner Australia in a second success at Group 1 level (on firm ground). And he might now add that his first-run-back second to Solow was better than it looked at the time.
Yet a Group-3 winner, Free Eagle, is 3-1 favourite in this, with The Grey Gatsby 7.6. Don’t make sense, if Gatsby is his real self today.
Free Eagle is living off his potential, sidelined for most of his career through injury, and he also faces a Japanese firm-ground ace called Spielberg, who is wildly wrong at 9.4 after his defeat of Gentildonna, who beat Cirrus des Aigles and ran second to St Nicholas Abbey.
Verdict: I can take 7.6 and 9.4 the Group/Grade 1 winners. The Grey Gatsby and Spielberg, and have two top-quality horses running for me against the potential of Free Eagle at 3-1.
AYAAR NAPPED FOR THE ROYAL HUNT CUP
5.00 Royal Ascot (Royal Hunt Cup) Field Of Dream broke through for seven-year-olds last season, and goes again today 6lb higher.
Up to that point, the last 30 years had seen 16 winners aged four and nine aged five. None carried more than 9st 5lb.
Field Of Dream has it all to do against the 2014 runner-up Chil The Kite on revised terms and the hampered (fifth) Ayaar has been laid out for this and loves firm ground.
Munaaser, second to Gm Hopkins in the Silver Cambridgeshire, has to bounce back from a stinking start to the season. Temptress is on the upgrade. Speculative Bid has to step up a furlong, 10lb higher.
Verdict: This is a big field and things can go wrong for Ayaar, as it did last year. But Frankie Dettori is riding at a new peak. His Sunday success on Star of Seville was one of the rides of the century.
I’m gathering nap confidence in this Ayaar as a blot on the handicap, in that I’m finding it hard to locate any other horse to beat it.
5.35 Royal Ascot (Sandringham Handicap) Nell Gwyn winner, Osaila, seventh in the 1,000 Guineas, has to give weight all round and seven out of 10 winners of this have carried less than 9st.
Excuses were made (in season/ raced too free) for Jellicle Ball in the Guineas and at Goodwood, and John Gosden’s luckless losers (Star of Seville) have a habit of bouncing back.
Verdict: One of the Classic flops could return to form but Touchline (9.4 on BETDAQ early mouse) has been laid out for a royal Sandringham winner.
DAQMAN’S BETS (stakes declared for each bet)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 5pts win SIR ISAAC NEWTON, 4pts win HATHAL, and 4.5pts win (stakes saver) IVAWOOD (2.30 Royal Ascot)
TON-UP BET (to win 100): 6.8pts win CRY ME A RIVER and 1.5pts win on each (stakes savers) ACAPULCO and BESHARAH (3.05 Royal Ascot)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 8.3pts win on each EURO CHARLINE and (stakes saver) INTEGRAL (3.40 Royal Ascot)
BET (to win 30 points): 4.5pts win THE GREY GATSBY and 3.5pts win SPIELBERG (4.20 Royal Ascot)
TON-UP BET (to win 100): 10pts win (nap) AYAAR (5.00 Royal Ascot)
BET (to win 30 points) 3.5pts win TOUCHLINE (5.35 Royal Ascot)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 5 x 1pt win doubles and 2 x 1pt win trebles THE GREY GATSBY and SPIELBERG (4.20 Royal Ascot) with AYAAR (5.00 Royal Ascot) and TOUCHLINE (5.35 Royal Ascot)
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