CREAM OF THE FILLIES LINE-UP: Daqman is already on Dream Of Love for the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket. See if you can find something better: check out his filly-by-filly form and ratings for Sunday’s Classic cream and relate them to the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE ante-post offers.
TODAY: Daqman heads to Redcar for his nap.
1,000 GUINEAS RATINGS AND FORM
⭕ 3.40 Newmarket, Sunday (1,000 Guineas) STATS: Stalls 2, 3, 4, 7 (twice) and 8 (twice) have won in the decade. FAVOURITES 1-10.
TRAINERS: Aidan O’Brien 7. JOCKEYS: Ryan Moore 4, Frankie Dettori 2.
118 TAHIYRA (Dermot Weld) The Aga Khan’s half-sister to multiple Group winner and Arc second Tarnawa from same stable. Clear, impressive, in the Moyglare (soft), beating Ballydoyle’s Albany winner, Meditate. Never Ending Story (4th), not clear run.
114 LEZOO (Ralph Beckett) Yard brilliant with fillies. Three from four, beaten half a length by Mawj on the July Course before winning the Princess Margaret at Ascot.
Got her revenge on Mawj (3rd) and bagged the scalp of Meditate (second) by threeparts of a length in the Cheveley Park (6f good).
114 MEDITATE (Aidan O’Brien) Laid-back filly with ‘a great mind’ but, when tried to make all in the Moyglare, was easily overhauled by Tahiyra, and then held by Lezoo in the 6f Cheveley Park, with Mawj third (4th Swingalong, 5 Juliet Sierra (101).
At her best on fast ground (Mawj no match for her in the Albany; firm) and finished her first season with £385k first prize in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (1m firm); only ninth two out, strong late run to go clear.
111 MAMMAS GIRL (Richard Hannon) Hannon Guineas winners, Night Of Thunder, Sky Lantern and Billesdon Brook, were all beaten in their trials, but, though slow to start, this one stormed to the front in the final stages of the Nell Gwyn, going away at the line from Fairy Cross.
110 MAWJ (Saeed Bin Suroor) Benchmark for 2yo filly form, placed in the Albany and the Cheveley Park. Improved this year to win the Fillies Classic (soft) and the Fillies Guineas (good) in a 28-day Meydan double. See Lezoo and Meditate.
108 DREAM OF LOVE (Charlie Appleby) Improved nearly a stone at odds-on, when just failed to catch Mawj (7f soft) in the Fillies Classic at Meydan in January.
106 REMARQUEE (Ralph Beckett) Kingman filly, related on the dam’s side to Oaks winner Look Here. Won the Fred Darling trial (7f soft), two lengths in front of Swingalong (third), the Lowther winner who ran fourth to Lezoo, Meditate and Mawj in the Cheveley Park.
105 STENTON GLIDER (Hugo Palmer) Led a furlong out, split Remarquee and Swingalong in the Fred Darling, beaten a neck by the winner, a huge step up on her sole 2yo start (won 7f Chester novice)
105 NEVER ENDING STORY (Aidan O’Brien) Third, five lengths off Blue Rose Cen (who has won again this year), in the one-mile Marcel Boussac (drew clear on very soft) on Arc day in October. Won the Leopardstown 1,000 Guineas Trial in April, going away from Matilda Picotte (102).
104 FAIRY CROSS (Charlie Appleby) Slammed more than eight lengths by Mawj, needing the run, in a one-two with Mawj for the Fillies’ Guineas at Meydan (good).
Had won on good to soft in the Prestige at Goodwood (7f) and was taking a big-field Nell Gwyn (also good to soft) until hung left and run down by Mammas Girl.
106 Polly Pott (fourth in the Fillies Mile), 106 Queen Me (second to Swingalong in the Lowther Stakes with Mawj fourth).
ALSO RUN: 105 Olivia Maralda, 104 Dance In The Grass, 100 Karsavina, 99 Caernarfon, 96 Embrace, 96 Sweet Harmony, 88 Powerdress, 80 Naomi Lapaglia.
SMILE AND COLLECT
⭕ 5.05 Redcar Smile And Pay is napped on Betdaq Betting Exchange to defy the statutory 6lb penalty for his Catterick romp eight days ago when he sauntered home by 11 lengths.
It’s no surprise to see trainer Craig Lister (3 winners from his last 11 runners) strike whilst the iron is hot before the handicapper has his say and that say is likely to be much more punitive than 6lb. He again gets the good to soft ground on which he was so effective at Catterick.
Camacho Star also brings recent course winning form into the race having won here last month.
However he was no match for the long odds-on Concorde who was making amends for Pat Cosgrove’s major faux par at Kempton when he scooted home at Pontefract on his next start leaving Camacho Star 10 lengths back in second place.
Incidentally, Concorde also runs earlier on the same card today in the 4.00 where again he will be long odds-on and is set to make it three wins from four despite his surge up the handicap.
BETJEMAN POETRY IN MOTION
⭕ 5.25 Salisbury Sugar Candle looks plenty short in the market for a horse that has finished well down the field in four of her five career races.
The positives would be the step up trip bringing about an possible improvement and the Hughie Morrison stable being in good form but those factors are more than built into her price.
Gary Moore’s Big Jimbo flopped over hurdles on testing ground last time out and I think he needs quicker ground.
John Betjeman is a three time winner over hurdles but so far luckless on the flat. His Bath third last time out reads well in the context of this race and he also drops a grade.
⭕ 7.15 Chelmsford You Saw Brigadoon has been left on a mark of 57 and may need to do nothing more than run his race to collect this with several question marks over his rivals.
Dabbous lost a shoe when well beaten at Bath last time but returns to Chelmsford with a 7lb higher mark than he had when winning here last month and this looks a tougher contest.
Ed Dunlop’s Greek Giant has to be respected on stable factor alone but looks one of their lesser lights and so far hasn’t shown much on the artificial surface.
DAQMAN’S BETS
5.05 Redcar (win 10, nap)
BET 10pts win SMILE AND PAY
5.25 Salisbury (win 10)
BET 2.5pts win JOHN BETJEMAN
7.15 Chelmsford (win 10)
BET 3.3pts win YOU SAW BRIGADOON
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
