DAQMAN HITS 10 WINNING BETS: Where do you find the winners on a BETDAQ-sponsored card? On Betdaq Tips of course, entirely free and courtesy of the amazing Daqman. He landed 10 winning bets yesterday with:
One banker nap
Three other win bets
Two lays
Three doubles
One treble
110 POINTS PROFIT IN ONE DAY: The maestro’s run, which happened on the Doncaster card, included six wins in a row, and landed around 110 points profit, came in the following time order:
WON 9-4 Saint Charles
WON 4-11 Josses Hill (banker nap)
WON (lay) Some Buckle (2nd 7-4)
WON 11-4 Glingerburn
WON (lay) Petite Rose (3rd 11-4)
WON 5-6 Highland Retreat
WON 5-4 Steel Summit
THAT’S SIX LAYS IN A ROW: Those results extended his sequence of successful lays to six in a row. He’s landed back-to-back naps – after Emral Silk (WON 3-1) – and he goes into battle 11-7 up on Pricewise today, with 42 points profit from his 2015 Bull’s-Eye Bets.
SAY ‘HELLO’ TO THE LANZAROTE WINNER
1.35 Kempton Kingsgate Native is due to go chasing but could pick this one up by default, in that Come On Laurie’s form has been badly let down.
Through St Johns Point, ‘Laurie’ is ìnferior to Relentless Dreamer, who has been beaten a total of 43 lengths the last twice.
2.10 Kempton This is the crossroads for Balder Succes, whose performance today will no doubt decide his Cheltenham target: Champion Chase or Ryanair. Or neither.
Fair start back in the Haldon Gold Cup, decent run in the Tingle Creek, but beaten favourite twice now after disappointing in the Desert Orchid here.
The difference today is that he’s stepped back up to the trip of his Pendil success over today’s CD (gave 7lb to runner-up God’s Own) last February.
He should be tested by two other nearly horses, both also CD winners but this tactical race is hardly a punting prospect. The outcome? I already prefer Aintree for Balder Succes who won the Maghull Novices’ Chase there at the last Grand National meeting.
2.35 Lingfield (Ladbrokes Conditions Stakes) Pat Smullen, who won the Ballyogan Stakes in the summer for Curragh trainer Tracey Collins, scored for the yard at Dundalk on Captain Joy in October.
Captain Joy followed up in December and his Polytrack form is 122111411 in three years but, coincidentally, another woman trainer looking for more suitable races than her home country can provide sends over Dastarhon, a Listed performer at Deauville and winner at Chantilly on similar surfaces to today’s.
Dastarhon could make it third time lucky for Mme Pia Brandt who has gone close with two previous raiders but there’s also a spirited defence from a home team headed by former Aussie Grade-1 winner Linton and Big Baz, whose form since the summer is 221212, the last twice at Lingfield at Kempton.
The rest of Lingfield doesn’t compare with this race, which would look magnificent sat on top of the Lanzarote at Kempton. But the future of racing is an issue that doesn’t belong in today’s column, because you only want to know the winner of this race. Answer: so do I!
We have no comparative form but Dastarhon looks big as a Pattern performer at 9.2 on BETDAQ as I write, and I can save on Captain Joy.
2.40 Kempton, Saturday (Lanzarote Hurdle, for ABC Guide see Daqman Archive for Thursday) Twice today across the cards – in the Warwick Classic and this Lanzarote – we have Philip Hobbs’ horses which could do better for stepping up in trip.
Richard Johnson takes the Warwick mount on Return Spring while, on the 10st minimum, Tom O’Brien is entrusted with Hello George in the big Kempton hurdle.
Hello George was sixth in The Ladbroke at Ascot three weeks back, running on as though this 2m 5f would suit, and his education up until now has been to take the keenness out of him, get him to settle, which he’ll need to in more slowly-run races.
Heath Hunter is expected to go off in front, and first-time blinkers may help him set a target that most of these won’t even sight.
Warrantor and Tea For Two should keep him within range.
It’s a difficult choice between these two novices – the handicapper thinks there’s only a pound between them – but Nick Williams had the winners of this in 2011 and 2012 and Lizzie Kelly takes off a valuable 7lb.
Kilcooley has been hard hit by the handicapper and Newbury beaten favourite Hammersley Lake is said to need a sounder surface.
Heath Hunter’s stablemate, Dell’Arca, drops from Graded level for this but the failed chaser remains 17lb higher than his last winning hurdles form.
3.15 Kempton Running Chartreux at Kempton is significant. Though he is making his reappearance, all his success in the last two years has come on right-handed track: Exeter, Punchestown, Sandown and Wincanton.
An old-fashioned stamp of chaser who seems to handle any ground, he’s on a hat-trick here but that would have been completed already if he hadn’t fallen in the lead at the third last over today’s CD in February.
Open Hearted had a break of almost a year before running third at Exeter last month (17.5 furlongs) and the step up in trip today should be within his compass, as he’s won over 22.5 over hurdles.
Mart Lane hasn’t been the same since he left Richard Newland, who runs Ardkilly Witness, well supported with some bookies this morning and another who prefers to go right-handed.
Midnight Appeal needs to be caught fresh and that’s long gone this season; Via Sundown returned to novice class after winning ordinary races at Lingfield a year ago and has failed to hack it in the big time this winter, though could improve at only seven.
Masters Hill is very lightly campaigned and could also improve. In an open race, punter-friendly BETDAQ offers will allow me to dutch Chartreux and Ardkilly Witness.
CLASSIC POWER TO THE MARATHON MAN
3.35 Warwick Classic Three previous winners of the race clash today: West End Rocker (2011), now 13, takes on Rigadin De Beauchene and Shotgun Paddy from the last two years.
Though just 2lb higher, Shotgun Paddy is a stone worse off with the six-lengths runner-up, Carruthers, who was returning from a long absence that day but has had two prep runs this time around.
Rigadin De Beauchene is 21lb higher than for his winning rating, though he’s raced only six times in the intervening two years. His Haydock National Trial success of last February is surrounded by four times pulled up.
Shotgun Paddy won this as a novice and followed it with second in the NH Chase off 4lb higher, so not out of it if he can bounce back to form.
Theatrical Star (stable out of form) is closely matched with Ballyoliver (high in the handicap now) and Global Power, who comes from a yard which has already won big handicaps this year with Many Clouds and Rayvin Black.
But shrewd judges have been waiting for Return Spring, a novice like Paddy last year, to tackle a marathon trip. Impressed with his jumping at Cheltenham and has the same weight as Paddy that day, though racing off a 3lb lower rating.
In the mid-handicap group, Hawkes Point, twice placed in the Welsh National, is blinkered first time for the yard that put the blinds on Mon Parrain to win another marathon recently.
In the bottom six, the more rain the better for Global Power but the soft ground could also help London National winner, Tales Of Milan, establish a lead off his lightweight, though he’s had plenty of hard races this winter.
Global Power (10.0 on BETDAQ early mouse) gets the vote under marathon man Leighton Aspell, who won this race last year, then followed up in the Grand National on Pineau De Re, completing a magical staying-race hat-trick in the same year on Many Clouds in the Hennessy.
DAQMAN’S 1-2-3: Global Power 1, Return Spring 2, Hawkes Point 3
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 30 points today, except for Bull’s Eye Bets)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) KINGSCOURT NATIVE (1.35 Kempton)
BET 4pts win DASTARHON and 2pts win (stakes saver) CAPTAIN JOY (2.35 Lingfield)
BULL’S-EYE BETS (to win 50): 9.5pts win on each HELLO GEORGE and TEA FOR TWO (2.40 Kempton)
BET 4.5pts win CHARTREUX and 4pts win ARDKILLY WITNESS (3.15 Kempton)
BULL’S-EYE BETS (to win 50): 8pts win RETURN SPRING and 5.2pts win GLOBAL POWER (3.35 Warwick)
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