NOW 14 WINS: 116 POINTS PROFIT: Daqman landed three doubles and a treble, plus a single bet on Arpege d’Alene yesterday, giving him 14 winning bets in three days and increasing his profit to 116 points to recommended stakes. His winners in best-price order:
WON 6-1 DEFINITE FUTURE
WON 5-1 NO DUFFER
WON 9-2 WARRIORS TALE
WON 7-2 STRAWBERRY HILL
WON 7-2 URANNA
WON 14-5 GLINGERBURN
WON 5-2 ARPEGE D’ALENE (nap)
WON 9-4 CLOUD CREEPER (nap)
WON 5-4 CAROLE’S DESTRIER
WON 6-5 COWARDS CLOSE
WON 8-11 CLEAN SHEET
WON 2-13 TOP NOTCH
WON 1-3 BIDOUREY
THAT’S TWO NAPS OUT OF THREE: The sequence has included two winning naps out of three – Arpege d’Alene (WON 5-2) and Cloud Creeper (WON 9-4) – for 75-points profit when assessed at 20 points level stakes.
THERE’S A BANKER DOUBLE TODAY: Daqman’s lays (11 in a row) and bankers (seven out of seven) have been neglected, as he’s steamed 13 winners, all bankers in their own way, and around half of them opposing the favourite. But there are maximum-stakes bets at both Market Rasen and Navan this afternoon.
LAST-CHANCE SALOON FOR BRIAR HILL
2.15 Navan (Ladbrokes Ireland Boyne Hurdle) Such as Catch Me, On His Own and War Of Attrition have won this Grade-2, youngsters (seven-year-olds) on their way up or old-timers picking off late career prizes.
It’s the very same mix today, with Briar Hill and The Job is Right the youngsters. But both need to bounce back.
My World Hurdle ante-post bet Briar Hill – six in a row a year back – looks wishful thinking after a fall in the Albert Bartlett, and two submissions (in the Christmas Hurdle and the Galmoy) but not quite yet a knock-out.
He ran better in both than the bare form would suggest and he’s back in to 16-1 with Ladbrokes, and bigger BETDAQ offers have been taken, leaving him with not much liquidity on 31.0, though any movement in the betting is as much to do with the doubts about the original favourite, More Of That.
This morning’s market for the Boyne suggests that today could well be redemption day. Despite a drubbing by Dedigout in the Galmoy (heavy), Briar Hill is within a point-and-a-half of that one at 3.8 on the better ground.
And, of the old boys, only his stablemate Zaidpour, also beaten in the Galmoy, is shorter than 14.5, as I write. I’m bound to take some World Hurdle cover about Briar Hill and hope to get a free bet twice over for Cheltenham.
‘Twice over’ because any winnings today will pay for my World Hurdle stake and ‘a result’ will see the offers cut below the 15.0 taken ante-post, with potentially a trade situation.
Realistically, Briar Hill is dropping back to his winning trip here and I’m hoping that makes the difference. If so, then we’ll certainly sell if his World odds are cut.
2.50 Navan Another on the redemption trail is Groody Hill, from one of the few stables in any form in this race. Some have blanked altogether in the last fortnight.
Others, like Mouse Morris, are missing strike. Look at his form-figures: 230044402. He’s had 17 straight losers, five of them short-prices, and is only 3-50 with his hurdlers in the entire season to date.
Groody Hill (6.2 offers on BETDAQ early mouse) has been chasing – third in the Troytown at this venue – with limited success but his last appearance over hurdles was a winning one. Or rather, it wasn’t. He was disqualified.
The nine-year-old is owned by J P McManus and ridden by Mark Walsh, who is one of the shorter-priced fancies among the top jockeys to take over the McManus retainer from Tony McCoy. Incentive or what!
3.20 Navan (Flyingbolt Novice Chase) There’s still time for a good young fencing hope to be thrown up in time for the festival season by either the Flyingbolt or the Ten Up, the next race on the card.
Here’s Mouse Morris again. I haven’t actually spoken to him since the Lastofthebrownies days, but there’s no doubt he’ll be hoping that Dromnea can complete a hat-trick and put him back on the map. A ‘proper old-fashioned chaser’ who ‘just jumps and gallops’, according to Racing Post race-readers.
Mouse muddies the issue by running two in the five-horse field and, on official figures, Real Steel is the one with a chance, not disgraced in Grade-1 novices but who dislodged Bryan Cooper at the last in the Killiney at Leopardstown
Down in class here, Gilgamboa was impressive at Limerick on Boxing Day, beating a hat-trick winner and one who has scored in a Grade-2 novice since. Gives the weight away but may have enough to spare in the circumstances.
3.55 Navan (Ten Up Novice Chase) Another Rum was only fourth in this (2005) before going on to win the four-miler at Cheltenham. Last year’s winner, Foxrock, has leapt 22lb in the ratings, with a fine festival season likely.
Today’s renewal has a BETDAQ orange adding up to a punter-friendly 103% but at the same time it defies you to split five horses which are within 2.3 points of each other.
You could make the case for fences being the making of Urano, with his yard having had four winners in this since 2007,. But Noel Meade will argue that Very Wood is back to his old self.
You could point to Barry Geraghty’s being back on Apache Jack for the first time since their Albert Bartlett third at Cheltenham (behind Very Wood!). Or that Jack’s stablemate, Thunder And Roses, has also struck form.
But Noble Emperor is a really fine stamp of a horse – Mark Walsh again, with trainer Tony Martin bullish – and has now gone through the three disciplines, winning bumper, hurdle and chase.
THE QUEEN GOES FOR A ‘TOUCH’ AT RASEN
FFOS LAS Tony McCoy has been all around England, up to Scotland and over to Ireland since he decided to quit the saddle. Today he’s in Welsh Wales for ONE – yes, just the one – ride.
The Clonlisk Bug (5.10) was a running-on second over 14 furlongs in a Ludlow bumper, as if today’s two miles would be perfect.
His dam is related to The Tsarevitch and Gungadu, so stamina over fences should be the Bug’s game in the longer term, though A P will never know what it feels like to sit on him in a chase.
MARKET RASEN Like McCoy at Ffos Las, Tom Scudamore at Market Rasen has just the one mount, Fromthetop (4.15), and it’s a family affair, with the nine-year-old in the care of Michael Scudamore.
This is the first time Tom has been on board Fromthetop since the partnership won a Worcester hurdle in August, 2013. Also new today: first-time visors.
Her Majesty’s Close Touch (3.10) is superbly named, as ever with her horses (Generous – Romantic Dream). He skipped round the right-hand track at Wincanton, before getting stuck in the mud at Haydock (lost a shoe).
Close Touch is back going clockwise here, dropped back to his winning level. He’s four from four going the ‘proper’ way round.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20, except bankers and multiples)
BET 7pts win BRIAR HILL (2.15 Navan)
BET 3.75pts win GROODY HILL (2.50 Navan)
BANKER: BET 20pts win CLOSE TOUCH (3.10 Market Rasen)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) GILGAMBOA (3.20 Navan)
BET 6pts win NOBLE EMPEROR (3.55 Navan)
BET 4pts win FROMTHETOP (4.15 Market Rasen)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 3pt win doubles and 1pt win treble CLOSE TOUCH (3.10 Market Rasen), GILGAMBOA (3.20 Navan) and THE CLONLISK BUG (5.10 Ffos Las)
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