56 POINTS IN YOUR DERBY WALLET: Daqman’s your friend in Derby week! He had winners in two races out of three yesterday, including his nap and a bull’s-eye bet in the big Race To The Ebor Handicap at the Curragh
Wednesday: Profit on the day: 56 points
WON 7-4 BOYFRIEND (nap)
WON 2-1 MR PERCY (bull’s-eye bet)
TODAY: DERBY UPDATE: Has Ryan Moore picked right? Do you follow the trends or what?
TOMORROW: THE OAKS: Daqman’s verdict on the fillies’ Classic on Epsom’s opening day.
MOORE CHOICE IS DELACROIX
⭕ 3.30 Epsom, Saturday (Derby Stakes) Talk about trends for the Derby! Yes, now’s the time.. and the truth is that so much depends on which trial is in fashion.. Or how you tell the tale of the latest ‘pointer.’
We all know the one by now about the Epsom winners that were red-hot flops in the 2,000 Guineas?
Auguste Rodin was 12th in the 2,000 but won the Derby. City Of Troy was 9th in the Guineas but won the Derby, too.
They happened in successive years (2023-4), were both trained by Aidan O’Brien and both ridden by Ryan Moore.
The same sequence this year was so trended for the same stable that when The Lion In Winter flopped in the Dante, not the Guineas, he was still favourite to redeem himself at Epsom and mysteriously warp the 01 binary hat-trick.
But yesterday Ryan Moore finally put the equation to bed by picking stablemate Delacroix for his Classic ride instead!
Last time there was a big field of 19 or 20 for the Derby, the winner came out of stall 4, from which Midak will emerge on Saturday.
Midak’s sire, Footstepsinthesand, won the 2,000 Guineas for Aidan O’Brien but his grandad (dam’s sire), Sinndar, won the Derby.
Sinndar had taken the Leopardstown Derby Trial, which was this year won by Delacroix. I knew there was a trend in there somewhere!
FAHRENHEIT TO SCALE NEW HIGHS
⭕ 3.42 Hamilton today a decent class 2 handicap in the middle of the Hamilton card which looks very open despite a field of just six.
The ground has eased to good and that should suit Fahrenheit Seven – already a winner of three of his eight starts including on good.
He has been running respectfully at class 2 level including when a close up fourth at Newmarket last time out over seven furlongs.
He seems equally as adept over six furlongs and in any case the drop back in trip is mitigated by the fact that Hamilton is a stiff six furlongs, so ideally you are looking for a selection that can go that distance and beyond.
Korker was heading the morning Betdaq Betting Exchange market but is now on a losing run of 14 and his better run at York last time out came on faster good to firm ground.
Tropical Island won nicely at Ripon but is up a harsh 7lb and a grade to boot. She may still have place prospects.
A GALLANT NAP
⭕ 3.50 York Just eight minutes later my second bet of the day is Gallant to make amends for a luckless run at York last time out.
You could even argue he’s a ‘winner’ without a penalty here given the trouble he found in running when sent off favourite for a class 3 handicap but was repeatedly denied a clear run and in the circumstances did well to be only beaten three and a half lengths.
This looks a lot easier and he has winning form on the all-weather. He’s definitely better than a class 4 animal.
TIME FOR CLOCKMAKER
⭕ 7.42 Chelmsford Clockmaker got off the mark with a win on the turf at Doncaster last month and looks well enough in here off a mark just 2lb higher.
The form of his win was given a boost when the runner up Road To Wembley won here on his next start and in a race with a couple of suspect stayers Clock Maker should make a bold bid.
Dancingwithmyself flopped when tried over an extended trip at Nottingham and also comes into this on the back of a poor effort at Goodwood last time out.
A bigger danger may emerge from Kingdom Of Stars who has been running into form with good efforts over two miles in his last two starts at Kempton.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
3.42 Hamilton (win 10)
BET 2.8pts win FAHRENHEIT SEVEN
★ 3.50 Lingfied (win 10, nap)
BET 8.0pts win GALLANT
7.42 Chelmsford (win 10)
BET 3.1pts win CLOCKMAKER
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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