PREMIER LEAGUE MONDAY: The Striker previews CHELSEA v NOTTINGHAM FOREST and EVERTON v MANCHESTER CITY both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
CHELSEA V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
3pm We have Bank Holiday Monday Premier League football on Betdaq Betting Exchange! No doubt that Everton v Manchester City will take all the headlines today in the late kick off given the title race, but we kick off the day at Stamford Bridge as Chelsea host Nottingham Forest. You could say this is one where the backdrop to the game is every bit as interesting as what might happen on the pitch. Chelsea have just sacked another manager with Liam Rosenior out the door now, but this fixture also falls in between the Europa League Semi-Final for Nottingham Forest. It looks like they are out of the relegation mix coming into the weekend, but they are still just on the edge – it looks a bit too close to go resting your full XI! This is definitely a fixture where you could see massive movement on the team news, so watch out for that. Chelsea come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.73 with Nottingham Forest 5.2 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. Five consecutive Premier League defeats without scoring a single goal put paid to Liam Rosenior reign, whatever you feel about that decision, Chelsea did get through the FA Cup Semi-Final against Leeds in the first game after the sacking.
Once again, it’ll be interesting to see what type of performance we get from Chelsea here. He seemed to have full dressing room support when he started; but then what manager doesn’t at the start! Chelsea have obviously really struggled to get over the line in games this season because they should be in the Champions League spots – their average xG created of 1.57 is the joint-fifth best attacking figure in the Premier League and their average xG conceded of 1.31 is the fourth best defensive figure too. Forest have been involved in the relegation battle all season and almost had a different manager every month, but their performance levels haven’t been that bad. Their average xG created of 1.45 and average xG conceded of 1.44 are both solidly mid-table – obviously their eyes could be on another prize in this game though, and I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here. I know Chelsea have been massively struggling in front of goal, but I feel we’ll get an open game with loads of chances. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.74 and that looks worth a small bet – I feel this is definitely a game for small stakes!
The Striker Says:
One point win Over 2.5 goals at 1.74 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLChNo
EVERTON V MANCHESTER CITY
8pm We round off Bank Holiday Monday with one of the Premier League’s most important fixtures this weekend! Everton host Manchester City at the Hill Dickinson, and with Arsenal beating Fulham on Saturday, City have a six point gap to close with two games in hand. I think everyone is in agreement that City have the harder run-in compared to Arsenal but you also have to say that Pep Guardiola’s side are finishing the season stronger. They look a lot more confident and in control compared to Arsenal. Everton away is generally a tricky fixture – they are well short of top class in recent years but they’ve been a lot more solid since David Moyes returned, especially with home advantage. Despite that, it’s no surprise that City come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.49 with Everton 7.0 and the draw is 5.2 at the time of writing. It’s been hard to knock City in recent weeks – they haven’t lost a Premier League game since January and they look like a different beast since Bournemouth beat Arsenal and opened the door. Let’s not forget the Carabao Cup Final win against Arsenal too. Their average xG created of 1.79 is now the best attacking figure in the entire Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.12 is the second best defensive figure too.
That attacking figure has been increasing for the last number of weeks, while Arsenal’s has been heading in the other direction. Erling Haaland has been the difference maker as always; he’s finishing the season in red-hot form too. As I said above, Everton will likely make City work hard but it’s hard to see past an away win. Everton have an average xG created of 1.3 which is in the bottom six attacking figures, and their average xG conceded of 1.52 is in the bottom five defensive figures. This is actually a massive game for Everton – with everyone dropping points; a win here for the Toffees could potentially drag them into a European conversation of their own. They aren’t even in the top half, but there’s so little between sixth and eleventh. It’s hard to see Moyes setting Everton up here in any other way than a cagey fashion – the 1.49 on City doesn’t exactly jump off the page – I would expect them to win but have to grind it out in a tight game. Under 2.5 goals is trading 2.4 and that looks worth a small bet in my opinion. The market is clearly expecting goals; I’m not so sure we’ll see a free flowing game here.
The Striker Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.4 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLEvMc
