PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: The Striker previews SOUTHAMPTON v MANCHESTER CITY and BOURNEMOUTH v ASTON VILLA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
SOUTHAMPTON V MANCHESTER CITY
3pm Another Premier League Saturday awaits on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE as we head towards the end of the 2024/25 season. We don’t have an early kick off this season with plenty of sides involved at the Semi-Final stages in Europe midweek. Unfortunately for Arsenal, that’s where their season came to an end. We start the weekend with four games kicking off at 3pm, and the pick of them is Southampton hosting Manchester City in my opinion. It’s highly likely now that Manchester City won’t miss out on Champions League football next season – especially now with Nottingham Forest dropping so many points lately – a lot of football fans will say that was never in doubt for Pep Guardiola’s side, but they did find themselves in a few tricky situations. Obviously that late winner against Aston Villa recently was massive too. This is a game that they will be fully expected to win with Southampton well short of Premier League standard this season. Another loss last weekend against Leicester meant it was eleven Premier League games without a win now, but that run hasn’t been a surprise given their performance levels this season. It’s no surprise to see City as the red-hot favourites.
City are trading the shortest price of the of Premier League weekend. The away win is as short as 1.2 with Southampton 16.5 and the draw is 9.0 at the time of writing. It’s exceptionally difficult to see anything bar a City win here – obviously there are no prizes for tipping 1.2 shots so we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value, however I’d be looking to include City in any weekend Acca. City have obviously had a lot of issues this season and at times they’ve been far too easy to play through, but they are finishing the season well now. They have an FA Cup Final to look forward to and they’ve been on a winning run in the Premier League. Southampton have been conceding chances for fun this season too – they have the worst defensive record in the Premier League this season with an average xG conceded of 1.93. Not only that, but they are conceding over that – they’ve conceded on average over two goals per game this season – easy to see why they sit bottom of the table. City can cover the handicap on their way to winning here, and the 1.58 on City -1.5 goals is a confident bet to start the day.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Manchester City -1.5 goals to beat Southampton at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/SouMnc
BOURNEMOUTH V ASTON VILLA
5.30pm We finish Saturday in the Premier League with Bournemouth hosting Aston Villa, and this should be an entertaining game. Bournemouth have been having an excellent season, and they’ve been one of the most entertaining sides to watch too. They have the joint-fourth best attacking figure in the Premier League with an average xG created of 1.71 and they’ve been conceding plenty of chances too – their average xG conceded is 1.52. We should get another end-to-end Bournemouth game here. The sides sit beside each other in the table coming into this weekend, but there’s a seven point gap between them so I don’t see Bournemouth breaking into that top seven. From an Aston Villa point of view, every game is massive now as they are still in with a shout of the Champions League spots – especially now the Premier League gets an extra spot this season. They come into this weekend just three points behind Newcastle and Chelsea in fourth and fifth – they should jump over Nottingham Forest too who have been finishing the season poorly. They are only one point behind them in the Europa League spot. The pressure is on Villa here – every game is must win now.
We have an open betting heat; Bournemouth come into the game as the favourites with home advantage at 2.56 with Aston Villa 2.88 and the draw is 3.8 at the time of writing. Villa really struggled to create good quality chances in the first half of the season, but their average xG created has been increasing each week recently which is a good sign. They are only marginally creating more than they are conceding though – there’s only 0.04 in the difference. It’s hard to argue with Bournemouth being the favourites here to be honest – they have been creating more this season and have home advantage. Both sides concede a decent volume of chances too, and given I don’t see either of them sitting back I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market because I like goals. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.67 and Both Teams To Score is ten ticks shorter at 1.57. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet as I can see an open and end-to-end game here. Villa have to go for a win, they can’t just sit back and accept a draw given the situation with European spots. I feel there’s marginally more value in Over 2.5 goals, and I’m happy with a confident bet at 1.67.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BthAvl
