Yesterday we covered roughly half of BETDAQ’s 46 Super Bowl prop markets (pt. 1 here), and now we’re back to finish the job. This is essentially the “kickers and punters” edition, as the kicker/punter props are quite extensive at the Daq (insert joke about soccer-loving Euros here). Enjoy…
*All prices are current as of Friday afternoon
**All prices are to BACK
Team to make the longest field goal
NE- 1.89 Sea- 1.93
New England’s Stephen Gostkowski has a slightly stronger led than Seattle’s Steven Hauschka– Gostkowski made 5 field goals from 50+ yards this season and has hit a 60-yarder in a preseason game– but the difference is negligible and Hauschka is extremely accurate, making all 3 of his attempts from outside of 50 yards in 2014. This one’s basically a coin flip, so I’l go with the slightly better odds. SEATTLE.
Team to make shortest field goal
NE- 1.91 Sea- 1.91
This one could go either way, obviously, but I have a little more faith in Seattle’s red zone defense, so I’ll say NEW ENGLAND makes the shortest field goal.
Total field goals missed– 0.5
Under- 1.75 Over- 2.08
Gostkowski and Hauschka are both great kickers, going a combined 68/76 on field goal attempts this season. They’ve also both kicked in the most pressurized of situations, so neither man should be bothered by the stage. I’ll go UNDER here.
Will there be a field goal made in the 4th quarter?
Yes- 1.88 No- 1.95
If you read Part 1 you know that I’m going heavy on field goals in this game. We have two offenses that are good enough to create scoring opportunities, two defense that are good enough to keep the offenses out of the end zone, and two excellent kickers. I’ll say YES.
Total field goal attempts– 4
Under- 1.63 Over- 2.3
Both teams averaged just over 2 field goal attempts per game this season but neither kicker has been very active in recent weeks, as the teams have combined for just 7 field goal attempts in their last 3 games (Seattle has attempted 3, New England 4). Five combined attempts in one game seems like a lot, but the price is right for an OVER bet.
Which half will have the most points?
1st- 1.95 2nd- 1.88
Over the past few weeks the Seattle defense has been downright impenetrable in the second half, but after watching both of these offenses this postseason, the way they’ve started rather slowly but exploded in the 2nd HALF, it’s tough not to lean in that direction.
Total points, Stephen Gostkowski– 7.5
Under- 2.08 Over- 1.76
I think Gostkowski will kick at least 2 field goals and I expect the Patriots to (barely) reach the 20-point mark, so I’ll go with OVER here.
Total points, Steven Hauschka– 7.5
Under- 2.02 Over- 1.8
Is it weird that I expect a fairly low-scoring game yet lean toward “Over” on both of the kicker point totals? Well, I do. OVER for me. A 24-20 final score would check all the boxes quite nicely, wouldn’t it?
Total field goals made, Stephen Gostkowski– 1.5
Under- 2.04 Over- 1.79
I mean, I can’t back down now, can I? I expect to see plenty of Mr. Gostkowski on Sunday night, so give me the OVER.
Total field goals made, Steven Hauschka– 1.5
Under- 2.12 Over- 1.73
I don’t feel as good about Hauschka as I do Gostkowski. For one, Hauschka missed 6 field goals this season compared to only 2 for Gostkowski, so he may let you down if given the opportunity. Plus, he’s made just 1 field goal in Seattle’s 2 postseason games. Typing the last two sentences has made me want to go “Under” here, but I’m sticking with OVER. Gotta dance with who brought you, right?
Gostkowski vs. Hauschka, most points
Gost- 1.89 Hau- 1.93
For the reasons outlined above I’ll go with New England’s Stephen GOSTKOWSKI, though the bet feels like a bit of a coin flip.
Total number of punts in the game– 8.5
Under- 1.83 Over- 2.00
I expect a fairly low-scoring game, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to be a punt-fest. Both offenses should be able to sustain some drives and possess the ball, so I think this game is going to be more about the field goal kickers that the punters. UNDER feels like the right play here.
Ryan Allen longest punt– 55.5
Under- 1.89 Over- 1.93
Allen has had a punt travel more than 55.5 yards in 10 of New England’s 18 games this season, but he’s failed to do so in the team’s last 3 contests. The weather will be much nicer in Glendale than Foxborough, though, and you know Allen will be full of adrenaline. OVER for me.
Ryan Allen shortest punt– 36
Under- 1.91 Over- 1.91
The Super Bowl adrenaline may be flowing, but that could lead to a shank, too. Allen has averaged fewer that 37 yards on his 8 punts this postseason, so I’ll take UNDER here.
Jon Ryan longest punt– 54.5
Under- 1.76 Over- 2.08
Ryan has only had one punt travel 55 yards or more in his last 7 games. I’m sure he’ll be pumped up because of the situation, but that’s not enough to get me off the UNDER.
Jon Ryan shortest punt– 35.5
Under- 1.91 Over– 1.91
Ryan may not have the strongest leg in the world, but his much more consistent than his counterpart in this game, New England’s Ryan Allen. He also has plenty of big-game experience, so I think his shortest punt will travel OVER 35.5 yards.
Ryan Allen vs. Jon Ryan, longest punt
Allen- 1.75 Ryan- 2.1
This one’s easy to handicap, as Ryan Allen simply has a stronger leg than Jon Ryan. If you think Allen’s going to choke and won’t be able to get off a good one, fine, but that’s the only way he could blow this one. ALLEN is the right play.
Ryan Allen 1st punt– 46.5 yards
Under- 1.91 Over- 1.91
Allen is a young guy who has never kicked on a stage like this, so it wouldn’t be at all surprising if he were a little shaky out of the gate. I think an UNDER bet makes a lot of sense here.
Jon Ryan 1st punt– 43.5 yards
Under- 2.00 Over- 1.82
Ryan is an experienced veteran whose only punt in last year’s Super Bowl traveled 45 yards. I think his nerves can be trusted, so OVER feels like the right side.
Ryan Allen total punts– 4.5
Under- 1.74 Over- 2.1
Allen has punted 8 times in New England’s two postseason games, and even though Seattle has a great defense I expect Tom Brady to have success between the 20s. Despite the unfriendly price, I’ll take the UNDER.
Jon Ryan total punts– 4.5
Under- 1.68 Over- 2.2
Can the New England defense force Seattle to punt five times? Yes, I believe they can, even though I’ve already mentioned that I like Under 8.5 total punts in the game. I’ll go with OVER 4.5 punts for Ryan at 2.2.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
